Your generosity in gifting a Hopium subscription is truly commendable. I could say that applies for anyone from another country with no horse in the race, but that would be untrue. As you pointed out, the leadership and politics in the US is a bellwether for other countries and leaders in those nations. I think it also goes both ways -or at least the Zeitgeist internationally affects US politics. I think the recent UK elections (I actually watched the BBC feed here with rapt interest) and those in France signaled something about a real change world-wide. Despite the gloomy forecast in the US at the time, I really felt optimistic.
Oh, and I actually was in the UK at the time heard that Biden was withdrawing from the race. My family and I were on a vacation in Scotland which was absolutely lovely. My son was graduating from University of Edinburgh so spent 15 days in Edinburgh, Inverness and Isle of Skye. Really a great time and wonderful to get in touch with some Scottish roots.
I've gone on too long, so thanks again and I hope someone will put your offer to good use!
Thanks, Russell. Glad you have a possible new subscriber you're speaking with. Also, would love to visit Wales someday, (roots there as well) but may need to buy some new rain-gear before, I suspect.
Russell, what an interesting post and kind offer! And indeed, the outcome of this election has global implications, which is perhaps not recognized enough in this country.
You’ve shared a partial list of the sources you’re following this cycle. I’m wondering if you also follow Heather Cox Richardson’s daily Substack and newsletter titled Letters from an American? Heather is a political historian who writes daily missives to historians 150 years in the future. (I never noticed the similarity between her “Letters” and Alistair Cooke’s “Letter” titles.)
Oh Russell, you’re in for a treat! Heather is a political historian who specializes in the Republican Party and the 1800’s. Her latest book is “Democracy Awakening” where she explores how we arrived at this current moment, and how we might evolve beyond it.
Heather started writing her daily letters during Trump’s first impeachment. Her goal is to filter out the static of our turbulent times and document what will be truly important to historians 150 years in the future.
She also posts occasional Politics Chats on YouTube, about an hour long, wherein she talks about what’s currently happening and puts it in historical context. She teaches at Boston College and she’s an extraordinary teacher to all of us.
That golf cart parade for Harris was the shock of a lifetime for me. But really, so many would rather have Smart Lady Harris on the world stage representing us than a stupid felon, rapist, fraudster, grifter, electric boat shark idiot, etc.
I agree with you about Florida. I think that it did not have to become as red as it did post-2018. A few things happened: Bill Nelson deciding to “mosey” instead of “run” for re-election, then Ron DeSantis being “Trump But Smarter,” and a badly managed, badly led Democratic Party. None of this is true now. Nikki Fried is in charge of the Democrats, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell is a strong candidate, and DeSantis - well, we’re not hearing much about “Trump But Smarter” now that the doofus has faceplanted like a dropped meatball on the national stage, *and* picked a fight with Mickey Mouse that he will never ever win because the Mouse is richer than God and can run out the clock on lawyers, plus Disney World is one of Florida’s biggest revenue generators.
There is huge energy for Kamala Harris in Florida, and I bet that translates down ballot. I want to see Florida flip blue again - I mean it WAS blue as late as 2012! - and the brown pants on the red side of the aisle.
I also want Harris to absolutely sweep Georgia just so Jimmy Carter can die a happy man.
Whenever I see footage of Ron DeSantis trying to be jovial or animated, I have a nagging and overwhelming feeling that I am watching some really bad AI-generated video.
"...now that the doofus has faceplanted like a dropped meatball on the national stage..." - that's hilarious and brilliantly put! I love the image! LoL
I live in Florida. The fundamentals are that Trump won in 2020 by 3.1%. We think we lost about a million dems since then...but we're trying to reregister them. We think that a number of 2020 Trump voters are flipping....primarily due to Jan 6, but also stuff like "not suckers or losers." But we think that abortion and marijuana on the ballot will ensure a big turnout. Fladems uses software that can distinguish persuadable voters when we get to GOTV. Our primary starts next week. In my house district we cave a competitive race. Although Dems have a registration edge, Republicans control this and 2 neighboring seats.
I am originally from Pennsyltucky. Shapiro is not. He does not guarantee a win statewide. The Susquehanna poll has Harris already ahead. Our strength in all the blue wall states is Gen Z, who are coming in at 2020 levels.
Influencers like Beyonce, Taylor Swift, David Hogg, etc can be our salvation. We've asked the DNC to reach out to them. Gen z make up 25% of the potential electorate.
i wonder if Tyler Childers would endorse, or do a concert or something. I think that would be a big get too. Imagine Beyonce, Taylor and Tyler all performing at the Dem convention...a girl can dream. Imagine the TV ratings! Imagine Trumpian apoplexy!
Daniel, Florida independents (26%) always thrill me. Thing is also, women (53%?) played so big in 2022 with Dobbs on 6/24/2022. Also spending $19 million more than McCain in Florida in 2008 was a shrewd move. Harris has enough $ to outspend Trump by $50 million in Florida. Florida has 30 delegates this time. What say we challenge to outspend him again in his home state and run him dry of cash? “It is going to be wild.” PA was Obama by 2.5% in 2008. Don’t knock Shapiro as not from Pennsylvania. He, like me, is not from anywhere. We are military brats, and are insulted by the “not from around here” dogma. I was in 17 schools by my senior year of high school. He started and finished school in Pennsylvania’s Montgomery County. He won and has held State of Pennsylvania elected positions since he was 33 years old. He is known and well respected there. If “not from around here” played he would not have won the governorship, beating a Trump protégé. Let me also note that Kamala is from the West. Shapiro is from the East having coattails with 19 delegates, and Kelly is from the West having coattails with 11 delegates. Predictions predicated by gut feelings are a foolish game. What do your polls say? Check end of day Monday.
Kelly and Walz are neck and neck for me. Shapiro may be trouble with the sex harrassment case for one of his close associates and maybe for allowing Harris less wiggle room re Palestinians and Gaza.
Help me with the math… there are ~13 million Florida voters and only ~4 million women? Just trying to understand the data in your post. Thanks for sharing! I truly think Florida may surprise us!!!!
For you, anything! I will have to do a deep dive and get back with you. This off the top of my head. Voting age women is like 7.5 million women, but only 4 million voted. Voting age men are lower in population, like 6 million. I am doing pizza tonight and am out of pocket, but I will run down my data sources and compile it better for you.
Figured it out. The Census Bureau and State records show 13.4 million registered voters. They don’t all vote. The 2022 midterms had 7.5 million voters: women 4 million and men 3.5 million. Midterms have fewer voters than presidential elections, and the electorate was smaller in 2020. Daniel has 13.4 million registered voters to entice this year!
I live in NY-22 district and it is entirely gettable. John Mannion, a current State Senator is on the Democratic ticket. He is local-lived here his whole life, was a school teacher here for about 30 years and raised his family in our community. Currently we have a Texan carpetbagger Brandon Williams in office who owns a truffle farm outside the district. No one likes this guy. He doesn't hold any constituent events in the city, rarely in Onondaga (the most populous) County and talks over people when he does. It should be easy to flip.
This information is meaningful. I just noticed how tight the race was that got a Republican into NY-22. Simon may want to add a race for House. One of his picks was cut out in the primaries. I think in terms of a potential “opening” like an open seat or job.
Carl I am removing this post for as you admit you made mistakes in the data. Can't have that here. You can make your case but please refrain from home grown analysis and unsubstantiated data.
Careful about celebrating Harris's lead in the polls and its implication that Trump, to his despair, may lose to a woman. Hillary Clinton led in the polls in 2016, and Trump did not lose to her.
The stark difference in enthusiasm when one compares the Harris rally in Atlanta, Georgia vs the Trump rally should tell us everything. People sitting behind Trump whining about how unfair life, ABC and the university there has been to the man born into his squandered wealth were bored, sitting with their arms folded in their stupid red hats holding their "Your Fired" signs as he droned on and on... whereas those behind Harris were energized and euphoric. I wondered if they had been paid to sit behind him because after that shooting, who would volunteer to be the next person killed in place of that monster?
I am reporting the data as I see it, and this is not 2016. Trump is a degraded figure. The polls were not wrong in 2016 the election changed at the end due to Comey's intervention in the election. I am not going to do anything but tell you the truth, and call it like I see it. I know folks have PTSD over what happened in 2016 but this is not 2016 it is 2024. We have to approach this election as we see it and in this election Trump falling behind is devastating to the entire narrative he has created and is putting his candidacy is significant trouble.
Since 2016, Democrats have not had a problem getting overconfident about polls. On the contrary, they treat polling leads as cause for alarm (because they are afraid voters may get overconfident). Cautioning Democrats not to get too confident about a polling lead is like cautioning Trump not to overdo it in his daily exercise regimen.
Very different situations. First of all, Hillary’s apparent lead against Trump was from what I remember relatively steady after the primaries in 2016; Trump notably seemed to lose some support when the Access Hollywood tapes came out (although clearly it was overestimated how much) and Hillary notably lost some when “The Emails” were leaked, and also a bit when she fainted that one time (and it seems that the effects of both may have been *underestimated*), but there was never really a pattern in Hillary’s polling numbers like we’ve seen with Harris recently, where the numbers seem to just be climbing up, and up, and up.
I concur with what Simon is saying about Trump being a far more vulnerable and less viable candidate than in 2016, but I’d also like to add another important factor in 2016 that I was personally extremely aware of. Hillary was never super popular with progressives, especially younger progressives, she struggled notably at several points with black and Latino voters (anyone remember how much she got mocked for the “hot sauce in the bag” comments that most perceived as pandering?), and of course the simple fact that Bernie had drawn almost Obama-like levels of enthusiasm from certain vital demographics in the primaries, only for the common perception to be that the DNC basically shafted Bernie to try to push Hillary, which left a really bad taste in a lot of those voters’ mouths.
I was a 25-year-old leftist when this was all happening, so I got a very specific first-hand window into what was happening. People around me felt extremely betrayed by the DNC, contemptuously so, and it didn’t at all help that Hillary was commonly perceived as representing an “elitist” trend within the democrats, perhaps the most alienated the party had ever become from its working class roots, and while there were definitely Russian-funded accounts perpetuating essentially conspiracy theories that further fueled this thinking, Hillary’s campaign frankly did a poor job of addressing it as well, with her literally belittling Bernie Sanders and his voters rather than attempting to reach out and bring them on board (basically, a bit like what Trump has done with all the Haley voters this election, albeit obviously in a far more vulgar and unabashed manner in his case).
The only similarities between Harris’s situation right now and Hillary’s at this point in 2016 is that both were running against Trump, and both are women. That’s it. The feelings around Harris right now from gen Z and millennial voters, progressives and leftists, and minority voters reminds me a *lot* more of the movement around Bernie in 2016, or even Obama in 2008, than it does of the movement around Hillary in 2016.
Keep in mind, I’m actually one of the relative minority of people who spent a good part of the 2016 election thinking Trump was probably going to win, although I’ll admit some of the stuff in October threw me enough that I changed my mind, only to horrifyingly find that I was apparently right initially; besides my own experiences seeing just how unpopular Hillary actually was among key groups, I remember there were also polls that came out right at the end of primary season that showed that there might be just enough overlap between potential Bernie and Trump voters that it would possibly doom Hillary, but of course few paid attention to those at the time.
Also, I believe there were specific issues with polling in 2016 where a lot of pollsters ended up biasing their data toward the democrats, iirc some of it was because a lot of surveys were still being done by landline back then, which tends to be biased toward older (and thus more conservative) respondents, so polling aggregators ended up overcompensating for that bias, or at least if I recall that was thought to be one of the problems, Simon might know about this. In any event, a lot of polling in 2016 was historically wrong.
EDIT: oh yes, one other important factor in 2016 was the simple fact that Hillary had *a lot* of people who strongly disliked her, to some extent all over the political spectrum, like she was not generally seen as a likable candidate. Meanwhile, Harris I think has in the past suffered from a lack of notoriety, and historically being seen as uncharismatic, but I’m not sure that I’ve ever seen quite the same depth of contempt for her coming from left-leaning people that I have seen for Hillary, and now she’s actually becoming extremely popular. So that’s another notable difference. I don’t know if Allan Lichtman has given his finalized prediction for this election yet, I know he’s set to this month, but so far from what I’ve seen, he’s favoring Harris because of the unity the party has shown around her, and keep in mind that he was someone who correctly predicted Hillary’s loss in 2016 with his 13 “keys” model.
SImon...I read that the reason TFG was late to the NABJ GIG WAS BECAUSE HE REFUSED TO GO ON IF THEY WERE FACT CHECKING!!!!!!!!! what a bad joke he is. BTW interested in your opinion about whether it's even worth "debating " him....you know he doesn't debate, answer questions, tells lies ..it seems like a waste of time to give him the honor of debating a legit candidate. What do you think????
The Trump campaign lied about why the event started late. They tried to change the ground rules once they got they because he is a huge baby man and cannot handle interviews with real reporters. That is why it was so late and the campaign put out a public statement lying saying there were sound issues. They lie all the time about everything.
Apparently there were some sound issues, but these were dealt with very quickly. The primary reason for the delay was that Trump refused to tolerate fact-checking,
So…are you pro a debate with Harris or think she should snub him as A felon/ rapist/ fraud/ con mad/ pathological liar, etc etc etc etc candidate…My question. Is why give him the time of day to participate legitimately as a candidate in a process/ debate he will go out of his way to destroy any of the format and rules and answers and behavior requested of him??????
I am so impressed with the Harris campaign that I trust their judgment on this matter. My personal guess is that he won't show up. He may temporarily agree, but then make up an excuse.
She did say that she would be there even if he didn't show up. Not a problem, they can ask her questions, and she can answer them. A lot of facetime on national television for her.
I don’t think Harris snubbing the debate would be a good look at all, considering how many times the democrats have accused Trump of waffling on them, and the fact it was the democrats who strongly pushed for presidential nominee debates this election in the first place. Like with how much liberal pundits have been calling Trump a “coward” for hinting that he might run from a debate at the last minute, I think it would look *very* hypocritical for Harris to do the same, it could also be very easily exploited to spin as her being “scared” of Trump, which we all know his campaign would never let go.
Also, she’s literally already agreed, even on Trump’s terms. I trust that someone with her level of experience grilling criminals will be able to handle a pathetic felon in his late 70s who’s seemingly suffering some degree of mental degradation just fine, even with an audience and crooked moderators.
I think people need to see him melting down and rage-spouting crazy stuff. No idea why, but they forget how insane he is when they haven't seen him for a while. His poll numbers drop when they're reminded, so I say, platform him with the mighty Kamala, let the very sight of her get under his skin, and watch with glee and she prosecutes her case. I can't friggin wait.
Whenever you say he is a "huge baby man," I think of that huge Trump baby in a diaper balloon that appeared in various states during and after the 2016 campaign, protests and perhaps even the 2020 campaign as well. (Obviously, there was more than one.)
I wonder what happened to those balloons. They were effective. Mocking Trump works. It makes him look even smaller than he is. And it prompts him to say even more idiotic things.
I believe it is a must. We got a look at Trump when he was out of his comfort zone in front of a room full of Black Journalists. We saw the true broken Donald Trump without the sheilding. Emperor has no clothes! His debating will be talking a little about policy which will consist of telling everyone how he can fix it on day one without facts, the rest of the time will be trashing everybody not Trump. This time around there is a strong woman with solid credentials to shut this bull shit down. It will be another display of a weak, failed candidate from the broken GOP. Must he get on the debate stage with Kamala Harris? Absolutely! As long as it is not in the soft cushy setting that exists in his strange head. A setting agreed to by both candidates.
I think the debate (which he has now agreed to) will still be another important opportunity to bring his madness and ugliness to the attention of less-engaged voters again as the election enters the home stretch. I’m not obviously expecting a civil engagement where Trump even attempts to “play by the rules” (especially he’s only agreed to it if Fox News hosts and there’s a full live audience), but I think Harris, especially with her experience as a prosecutor, will be able to bait and expose Trump into showing more of his true colors in a very public live venue where many will be watching, and I think that will be something to see. If Trump is going to fight dirty, then I think the DNC is going to have get into the mud a bit as well, and I think Trump’s delusional overconfidence will hurt him.
I was under the impression that Harris had agreed to the next debate on Trump’s terms (which included Fox News hosting), at least that was what I took from their exchange on Twitter? But I didn’t look deeper into it, so maybe there was a caveat I didn’t see.
It's been weird adjusting to this new hope and optimism the last couple weeks but I am loving it. Did my first canvassing shift in Bucks County, PA. Lucky enough to live just across the river so I can spend time in the state in addition to calling from home, post carding and helping juice turnout locally. LFG! We win when we do the work.
Thanks for the update Simon. Appreciate that you keep doing informative interviews with the media. Would love for the Winning the House Campaign to adopt Trisha Calvarese in CO. She is gaining in the polls and running a strong campaign against carpetbagger Lauren Boebert. A little more national financial support will help her throw Boebert out. Thank you!
Any reliable polling that indicates Calvarese has a realistic chance? If memory serves me right, Calvarese recently lost a special election to fill Ken Buck’s vacated seat by 24 percentage points...
Great Question. She did lose the special election to a shill candidate, Greg Lopez. Greg was a no show at a R sponsored debate after Trisha embarrassed him at the first debate. Boebert is not well liked in her new CO district 4. Trisha is raising $ here. A new Defeat Boebert PAC just formed here also. Agree that polls are not great from the national view - but here on the ground, she grows stronger with each speech and is making inroads out in rural CO and the closer in suburbs. It is a fight worth supporting!
Haha! It’s illegal in Denver too. I sometimes work at the theater she was thrown out of. I wasn’t there that night, but believe me that she has become a punch line among my fellow ushers. “Do you know who I am??!!”
Fred Wellman recently did a video interview with Trisha Calvarese in a series he calls “In the Hot Seat” where he interviews Dem candidates in tough races. Link: https://youtu.be/hB27JdOtMkM?si=RGaGHHSg0QYy5ZWn
Fred Wellman is former executive director of the Lincoln Project, veteran, and veterans’ advocate. His video pod “On Democracy” appears on the MeidasTouch Network, a fast growing independent media network. Our own Simon appeared on Fred’s pod, I think last week?
Fred’s interview with Trisha was taped before the June special election, which she lost to Greg Lopez. But Trisha continues to barrel toward the general election contest with Boebert. In this interview, she does a great job of answering the question, “Why should you vote for me?”
It’s gonna take a full-throttle effort. Thanx to Simon for leading one of the brigades. The future hinges on ending minority rule, which means fixing the Senate filibuster.
There are many voters that pholsolpically believe one party should never control all three branches of federal government and when one party seems to have a lock on the Whitehouse they split ticket vote deliberately. Removing the filibuster talk encourages this. Let's just do it if we get the opportunity, but not promote it in advance.
We can’t get elections reform without fixing the filibuster. One party is determined to make voting harder - and they got SCOTUS on board to do just that in Shelby v Alabama (5-4)
A vast majority wants to address gun violence… gotta connect dots. The House voted two years ago to ban assault weapons (without a single GOP vote). It did not even come up in the Senate… because of the filibuster.
Most folks want to address gun violence; they want to save democracy; they want easier and secure voting.
None of that is possible with the filibuster, which the Founding Fathers did not contemplate.
If you don’t connect dots for voters… they might not see.
Maybe I’m overconfident but I can’t see voters splitting their tickets for the crop of jokers running for Senate seats in swing states. Maybe if they were serious people, but Kari Lake, Sam Brown, Eric Hovde, Bernie Moreno, etc. are the very definition of “These are not serious people.”
Once again Simon your work to highlight great candidates continues to lift us up in hope. I just donated to Josh’s campaign and I am very heartened by all of the younger generation who have engaged to make this nation and indeed this world a better place for everyone!
Contraptions on being a Delegate! I meant congratulations! Thx ArcticStones. Was going to edit but decided oh what the heck? I'm leaving it in! Congratulations Carrie! 😂😂😂
Many years ago, a CEO was giving a speech at a convention. As he started talking, he peered out over his audience and realized it was a mixed crowd, not just men. Flustered, he corrected himself...
"Dear delegates and ... and ... and ... delicacies…"
Thanks, Simon. Trump's performance at NABJ reflected just how out of touch he is when it comes to the new demographics of America.
He doesn't get it.
American voters polled that they did not like either Biden or Trump in the 2024 presidential. Biden got the message and did the right thing. Voters now get to reiterate their views of Trump as the only old man standing.
It was really quite something to see how flat-footed the Trump campaign was caught once Biden withdrew. They were banking on beating the “Biden Old!” “Genocide Joe!” “Republicans are better on the economy” drums, but now what have they got? “Kamala Middle Aged?” Listen to any of Trump’s speeches, and he rambles and makes no sense.
Kamala and her team are already beating the “felon” drum, and now the 2020 election case is back with Judge Tanya Chutkan, who is worlds more formidable than Aileen Cannon. And *then* there’s the Shillbilly Breederson albatross around the Republican’s neck.
I feel an energy in the air around Kamala Harris that I haven’t felt since Obama 2008. (For people saying “remember Hillary Clinton” don’t forget there was scandal after scandal, no matter how ginned-up, around the Clinton campaign from the beginning, as well as the Bill Clinton factor; Doug Emhoff is a private citizen.)
Simon, your interviews with candidates are educating me about each individual, but also about our political landscape and the issues our country is facing. I so appreciate this opportunity to hear from these people, previously just names on a roster to me, without having to sort through hype and horserace. Thank you.
Simon, all this Hopium is fueling my drive to keep ordering postcards by the hundreds...I've committed my summer to writing them. Thanks again for all your data-driven analysis and honest assessments. Super helpful, and so uplifting. I trust you to be straight with us, as you were through those dark days in July. (Even then, you gave us hope...not easy to do.) And now, I feel like I woke up in a new world, and am giddy, buoyed by so much positivity. Just riding the waves all summer long...🌊🌊🌊🥥🌴💙
Thank you, Sarah B, you are too kind...honestly, I'm getting more out of this than I'm putting in. I love being part of something bigger than myself and contributing what I can to help. It's such an amazing feeling. 💙🇺🇸💙
Simon what do you think about Trump's proposed Fox News debate? Obviously it's a trap, but will play into a Trump-friendly both sides media narrative about "disagreeing about debate terms" vs the truth which is he's a chicken shit. I trust the Harris campaign will make the right call, but she could probably wipe the floor with him even at Fox HQ.
They already have an agreement – date, time, place, network and rules.
Trump is not free to change this. Kamala Harris is stating loudly and clearly that Trump’s failure to show up for the agreed-upon debate is an act of cowardice.
This is one of many ways Harris is succeeding in showing American voters that underneath his false strongman persona Trump is a pathetic and cowardly piece of shit. (Excuse my Texan.)
Harris must send a swift message: She won’t let Trump bully her.
She’ll likely have a comfortable lead after the convention. She won’t need to park herself on a stage where Trump will rattle off one lie after another.
I just read the Harris' campaign full statement and I think they're saying the right stuff. Which is paraphrased as "Do the debate you previous agreed to, then we'll discuss more debates. Also, you're a chicken shit baby man."
It’s worth pointing out that Trump’s line about the debate agreement no longer being valid because there’s a different candidate on the ballot is patently false. In fact, all such agreements leave out names just in case of such a contingency.
Hi Russell,
Your generosity in gifting a Hopium subscription is truly commendable. I could say that applies for anyone from another country with no horse in the race, but that would be untrue. As you pointed out, the leadership and politics in the US is a bellwether for other countries and leaders in those nations. I think it also goes both ways -or at least the Zeitgeist internationally affects US politics. I think the recent UK elections (I actually watched the BBC feed here with rapt interest) and those in France signaled something about a real change world-wide. Despite the gloomy forecast in the US at the time, I really felt optimistic.
Oh, and I actually was in the UK at the time heard that Biden was withdrawing from the race. My family and I were on a vacation in Scotland which was absolutely lovely. My son was graduating from University of Edinburgh so spent 15 days in Edinburgh, Inverness and Isle of Skye. Really a great time and wonderful to get in touch with some Scottish roots.
I've gone on too long, so thanks again and I hope someone will put your offer to good use!
Thanks, Russell. Glad you have a possible new subscriber you're speaking with. Also, would love to visit Wales someday, (roots there as well) but may need to buy some new rain-gear before, I suspect.
All the best.
What a kind and generous offer! We must take inspiration from each other.
Russell, what an interesting post and kind offer! And indeed, the outcome of this election has global implications, which is perhaps not recognized enough in this country.
You’ve shared a partial list of the sources you’re following this cycle. I’m wondering if you also follow Heather Cox Richardson’s daily Substack and newsletter titled Letters from an American? Heather is a political historian who writes daily missives to historians 150 years in the future. (I never noticed the similarity between her “Letters” and Alistair Cooke’s “Letter” titles.)
Oh Russell, you’re in for a treat! Heather is a political historian who specializes in the Republican Party and the 1800’s. Her latest book is “Democracy Awakening” where she explores how we arrived at this current moment, and how we might evolve beyond it.
Heather started writing her daily letters during Trump’s first impeachment. Her goal is to filter out the static of our turbulent times and document what will be truly important to historians 150 years in the future.
She also posts occasional Politics Chats on YouTube, about an hour long, wherein she talks about what’s currently happening and puts it in historical context. She teaches at Boston College and she’s an extraordinary teacher to all of us.
That golf cart parade for Harris was the shock of a lifetime for me. But really, so many would rather have Smart Lady Harris on the world stage representing us than a stupid felon, rapist, fraudster, grifter, electric boat shark idiot, etc.
I agree with you about Florida. I think that it did not have to become as red as it did post-2018. A few things happened: Bill Nelson deciding to “mosey” instead of “run” for re-election, then Ron DeSantis being “Trump But Smarter,” and a badly managed, badly led Democratic Party. None of this is true now. Nikki Fried is in charge of the Democrats, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell is a strong candidate, and DeSantis - well, we’re not hearing much about “Trump But Smarter” now that the doofus has faceplanted like a dropped meatball on the national stage, *and* picked a fight with Mickey Mouse that he will never ever win because the Mouse is richer than God and can run out the clock on lawyers, plus Disney World is one of Florida’s biggest revenue generators.
There is huge energy for Kamala Harris in Florida, and I bet that translates down ballot. I want to see Florida flip blue again - I mean it WAS blue as late as 2012! - and the brown pants on the red side of the aisle.
I also want Harris to absolutely sweep Georgia just so Jimmy Carter can die a happy man.
Please join the FT 6 Florida phonebank Thursdays. https://www.mobilize.us/ft6/?q=phone%20banks&tag_ids=20038
You are a delight.
🤩 🗳️ 🌊
Whenever I see footage of Ron DeSantis trying to be jovial or animated, I have a nagging and overwhelming feeling that I am watching some really bad AI-generated video.
Keep calling these guys and gals weird in your networks. It works.
Repeating the same phrase or messaging works (see GoP for the last twenty years)
@Impossible Santa Wife,
"...now that the doofus has faceplanted like a dropped meatball on the national stage..." - that's hilarious and brilliantly put! I love the image! LoL
I remember them doing smash burgers on a grill in Hoptown, KY (O’Farrell’s) . I saw that squish!
They call him Meatball Ron, both for what’s between his ears, and the noise he makes as he hits the ground as he enters the national stage!
I live in Florida. The fundamentals are that Trump won in 2020 by 3.1%. We think we lost about a million dems since then...but we're trying to reregister them. We think that a number of 2020 Trump voters are flipping....primarily due to Jan 6, but also stuff like "not suckers or losers." But we think that abortion and marijuana on the ballot will ensure a big turnout. Fladems uses software that can distinguish persuadable voters when we get to GOTV. Our primary starts next week. In my house district we cave a competitive race. Although Dems have a registration edge, Republicans control this and 2 neighboring seats.
I am originally from Pennsyltucky. Shapiro is not. He does not guarantee a win statewide. The Susquehanna poll has Harris already ahead. Our strength in all the blue wall states is Gen Z, who are coming in at 2020 levels.
Influencers like Beyonce, Taylor Swift, David Hogg, etc can be our salvation. We've asked the DNC to reach out to them. Gen z make up 25% of the potential electorate.
i wonder if Tyler Childers would endorse, or do a concert or something. I think that would be a big get too. Imagine Beyonce, Taylor and Tyler all performing at the Dem convention...a girl can dream. Imagine the TV ratings! Imagine Trumpian apoplexy!
Maybe if we ask.
Swifties can comment on her web sites.
Swifties for Kamala. 180,000 volunteers. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=soJDQB1QBXg
This is big for Milennials & Gen Z (more so Milennials) WI is my guess. He's a big deal in WI & Minny.
https://pitchfork.com/news/bon-iver-to-perform-at-kamala-harris-rally-in-wisconsin/
Daniel, Florida independents (26%) always thrill me. Thing is also, women (53%?) played so big in 2022 with Dobbs on 6/24/2022. Also spending $19 million more than McCain in Florida in 2008 was a shrewd move. Harris has enough $ to outspend Trump by $50 million in Florida. Florida has 30 delegates this time. What say we challenge to outspend him again in his home state and run him dry of cash? “It is going to be wild.” PA was Obama by 2.5% in 2008. Don’t knock Shapiro as not from Pennsylvania. He, like me, is not from anywhere. We are military brats, and are insulted by the “not from around here” dogma. I was in 17 schools by my senior year of high school. He started and finished school in Pennsylvania’s Montgomery County. He won and has held State of Pennsylvania elected positions since he was 33 years old. He is known and well respected there. If “not from around here” played he would not have won the governorship, beating a Trump protégé. Let me also note that Kamala is from the West. Shapiro is from the East having coattails with 19 delegates, and Kelly is from the West having coattails with 11 delegates. Predictions predicated by gut feelings are a foolish game. What do your polls say? Check end of day Monday.
Kelly and Walz are neck and neck for me. Shapiro may be trouble with the sex harrassment case for one of his close associates and maybe for allowing Harris less wiggle room re Palestinians and Gaza.
Help me with the math… there are ~13 million Florida voters and only ~4 million women? Just trying to understand the data in your post. Thanks for sharing! I truly think Florida may surprise us!!!!
For you, anything! I will have to do a deep dive and get back with you. This off the top of my head. Voting age women is like 7.5 million women, but only 4 million voted. Voting age men are lower in population, like 6 million. I am doing pizza tonight and am out of pocket, but I will run down my data sources and compile it better for you.
No rush at all, was just trying to square the numbers when I know there are more women than men in general in the country. 🙏🙏
So many men passed from too-long honey-do lists.
Figured it out. The Census Bureau and State records show 13.4 million registered voters. They don’t all vote. The 2022 midterms had 7.5 million voters: women 4 million and men 3.5 million. Midterms have fewer voters than presidential elections, and the electorate was smaller in 2020. Daniel has 13.4 million registered voters to entice this year!
I live in NY-22 district and it is entirely gettable. John Mannion, a current State Senator is on the Democratic ticket. He is local-lived here his whole life, was a school teacher here for about 30 years and raised his family in our community. Currently we have a Texan carpetbagger Brandon Williams in office who owns a truffle farm outside the district. No one likes this guy. He doesn't hold any constituent events in the city, rarely in Onondaga (the most populous) County and talks over people when he does. It should be easy to flip.
This information is meaningful. I just noticed how tight the race was that got a Republican into NY-22. Simon may want to add a race for House. One of his picks was cut out in the primaries. I think in terms of a potential “opening” like an open seat or job.
Cook has NY 22 Lean D.
Carl I am removing this post for as you admit you made mistakes in the data. Can't have that here. You can make your case but please refrain from home grown analysis and unsubstantiated data.
Careful about celebrating Harris's lead in the polls and its implication that Trump, to his despair, may lose to a woman. Hillary Clinton led in the polls in 2016, and Trump did not lose to her.
The stark difference in enthusiasm when one compares the Harris rally in Atlanta, Georgia vs the Trump rally should tell us everything. People sitting behind Trump whining about how unfair life, ABC and the university there has been to the man born into his squandered wealth were bored, sitting with their arms folded in their stupid red hats holding their "Your Fired" signs as he droned on and on... whereas those behind Harris were energized and euphoric. I wondered if they had been paid to sit behind him because after that shooting, who would volunteer to be the next person killed in place of that monster?
I am reporting the data as I see it, and this is not 2016. Trump is a degraded figure. The polls were not wrong in 2016 the election changed at the end due to Comey's intervention in the election. I am not going to do anything but tell you the truth, and call it like I see it. I know folks have PTSD over what happened in 2016 but this is not 2016 it is 2024. We have to approach this election as we see it and in this election Trump falling behind is devastating to the entire narrative he has created and is putting his candidacy is significant trouble.
and where in here is celebration? Everything we do here is about doing the work. This was an unhelpful post in my view.
Thank you, Simon
PTSD over 2016 is a great way of putting it, I hadn't considered how traumatic it was to a lot of people
I think a little PTSD over Jan 6 too.
The good news is, laughter is the best antidote - and Kamala’s reminding us of that!
Since 2016, Democrats have not had a problem getting overconfident about polls. On the contrary, they treat polling leads as cause for alarm (because they are afraid voters may get overconfident). Cautioning Democrats not to get too confident about a polling lead is like cautioning Trump not to overdo it in his daily exercise regimen.
Or saying “please, sir, drink more Diet Coke!” (With tears in my eyes)
Very different situations. First of all, Hillary’s apparent lead against Trump was from what I remember relatively steady after the primaries in 2016; Trump notably seemed to lose some support when the Access Hollywood tapes came out (although clearly it was overestimated how much) and Hillary notably lost some when “The Emails” were leaked, and also a bit when she fainted that one time (and it seems that the effects of both may have been *underestimated*), but there was never really a pattern in Hillary’s polling numbers like we’ve seen with Harris recently, where the numbers seem to just be climbing up, and up, and up.
I concur with what Simon is saying about Trump being a far more vulnerable and less viable candidate than in 2016, but I’d also like to add another important factor in 2016 that I was personally extremely aware of. Hillary was never super popular with progressives, especially younger progressives, she struggled notably at several points with black and Latino voters (anyone remember how much she got mocked for the “hot sauce in the bag” comments that most perceived as pandering?), and of course the simple fact that Bernie had drawn almost Obama-like levels of enthusiasm from certain vital demographics in the primaries, only for the common perception to be that the DNC basically shafted Bernie to try to push Hillary, which left a really bad taste in a lot of those voters’ mouths.
I was a 25-year-old leftist when this was all happening, so I got a very specific first-hand window into what was happening. People around me felt extremely betrayed by the DNC, contemptuously so, and it didn’t at all help that Hillary was commonly perceived as representing an “elitist” trend within the democrats, perhaps the most alienated the party had ever become from its working class roots, and while there were definitely Russian-funded accounts perpetuating essentially conspiracy theories that further fueled this thinking, Hillary’s campaign frankly did a poor job of addressing it as well, with her literally belittling Bernie Sanders and his voters rather than attempting to reach out and bring them on board (basically, a bit like what Trump has done with all the Haley voters this election, albeit obviously in a far more vulgar and unabashed manner in his case).
The only similarities between Harris’s situation right now and Hillary’s at this point in 2016 is that both were running against Trump, and both are women. That’s it. The feelings around Harris right now from gen Z and millennial voters, progressives and leftists, and minority voters reminds me a *lot* more of the movement around Bernie in 2016, or even Obama in 2008, than it does of the movement around Hillary in 2016.
Keep in mind, I’m actually one of the relative minority of people who spent a good part of the 2016 election thinking Trump was probably going to win, although I’ll admit some of the stuff in October threw me enough that I changed my mind, only to horrifyingly find that I was apparently right initially; besides my own experiences seeing just how unpopular Hillary actually was among key groups, I remember there were also polls that came out right at the end of primary season that showed that there might be just enough overlap between potential Bernie and Trump voters that it would possibly doom Hillary, but of course few paid attention to those at the time.
Also, I believe there were specific issues with polling in 2016 where a lot of pollsters ended up biasing their data toward the democrats, iirc some of it was because a lot of surveys were still being done by landline back then, which tends to be biased toward older (and thus more conservative) respondents, so polling aggregators ended up overcompensating for that bias, or at least if I recall that was thought to be one of the problems, Simon might know about this. In any event, a lot of polling in 2016 was historically wrong.
EDIT: oh yes, one other important factor in 2016 was the simple fact that Hillary had *a lot* of people who strongly disliked her, to some extent all over the political spectrum, like she was not generally seen as a likable candidate. Meanwhile, Harris I think has in the past suffered from a lack of notoriety, and historically being seen as uncharismatic, but I’m not sure that I’ve ever seen quite the same depth of contempt for her coming from left-leaning people that I have seen for Hillary, and now she’s actually becoming extremely popular. So that’s another notable difference. I don’t know if Allan Lichtman has given his finalized prediction for this election yet, I know he’s set to this month, but so far from what I’ve seen, he’s favoring Harris because of the unity the party has shown around her, and keep in mind that he was someone who correctly predicted Hillary’s loss in 2016 with his 13 “keys” model.
SImon...I read that the reason TFG was late to the NABJ GIG WAS BECAUSE HE REFUSED TO GO ON IF THEY WERE FACT CHECKING!!!!!!!!! what a bad joke he is. BTW interested in your opinion about whether it's even worth "debating " him....you know he doesn't debate, answer questions, tells lies ..it seems like a waste of time to give him the honor of debating a legit candidate. What do you think????
The Trump campaign lied about why the event started late. They tried to change the ground rules once they got they because he is a huge baby man and cannot handle interviews with real reporters. That is why it was so late and the campaign put out a public statement lying saying there were sound issues. They lie all the time about everything.
Apparently there were some sound issues, but these were dealt with very quickly. The primary reason for the delay was that Trump refused to tolerate fact-checking,
So…are you pro a debate with Harris or think she should snub him as A felon/ rapist/ fraud/ con mad/ pathological liar, etc etc etc etc candidate…My question. Is why give him the time of day to participate legitimately as a candidate in a process/ debate he will go out of his way to destroy any of the format and rules and answers and behavior requested of him??????
I am so impressed with the Harris campaign that I trust their judgment on this matter. My personal guess is that he won't show up. He may temporarily agree, but then make up an excuse.
She did say that she would be there even if he didn't show up. Not a problem, they can ask her questions, and she can answer them. A lot of facetime on national television for her.
I don’t think Harris snubbing the debate would be a good look at all, considering how many times the democrats have accused Trump of waffling on them, and the fact it was the democrats who strongly pushed for presidential nominee debates this election in the first place. Like with how much liberal pundits have been calling Trump a “coward” for hinting that he might run from a debate at the last minute, I think it would look *very* hypocritical for Harris to do the same, it could also be very easily exploited to spin as her being “scared” of Trump, which we all know his campaign would never let go.
Also, she’s literally already agreed, even on Trump’s terms. I trust that someone with her level of experience grilling criminals will be able to handle a pathetic felon in his late 70s who’s seemingly suffering some degree of mental degradation just fine, even with an audience and crooked moderators.
I think people need to see him melting down and rage-spouting crazy stuff. No idea why, but they forget how insane he is when they haven't seen him for a while. His poll numbers drop when they're reminded, so I say, platform him with the mighty Kamala, let the very sight of her get under his skin, and watch with glee and she prosecutes her case. I can't friggin wait.
Agree. One problem is the media normalizing T. Constant reminder of who he really is, important imo.
As long as she DOES NOT go on Fox News for a “debate”
Whenever you say he is a "huge baby man," I think of that huge Trump baby in a diaper balloon that appeared in various states during and after the 2016 campaign, protests and perhaps even the 2020 campaign as well. (Obviously, there was more than one.)
I wonder what happened to those balloons. They were effective. Mocking Trump works. It makes him look even smaller than he is. And it prompts him to say even more idiotic things.
I read he was an hour late arriving to begin with.
I believe it is a must. We got a look at Trump when he was out of his comfort zone in front of a room full of Black Journalists. We saw the true broken Donald Trump without the sheilding. Emperor has no clothes! His debating will be talking a little about policy which will consist of telling everyone how he can fix it on day one without facts, the rest of the time will be trashing everybody not Trump. This time around there is a strong woman with solid credentials to shut this bull shit down. It will be another display of a weak, failed candidate from the broken GOP. Must he get on the debate stage with Kamala Harris? Absolutely! As long as it is not in the soft cushy setting that exists in his strange head. A setting agreed to by both candidates.
I think the debate (which he has now agreed to) will still be another important opportunity to bring his madness and ugliness to the attention of less-engaged voters again as the election enters the home stretch. I’m not obviously expecting a civil engagement where Trump even attempts to “play by the rules” (especially he’s only agreed to it if Fox News hosts and there’s a full live audience), but I think Harris, especially with her experience as a prosecutor, will be able to bait and expose Trump into showing more of his true colors in a very public live venue where many will be watching, and I think that will be something to see. If Trump is going to fight dirty, then I think the DNC is going to have get into the mud a bit as well, and I think Trump’s delusional overconfidence will hurt him.
Friends there is not going to be a Fox News debate under any circumstances.
I was under the impression that Harris had agreed to the next debate on Trump’s terms (which included Fox News hosting), at least that was what I took from their exchange on Twitter? But I didn’t look deeper into it, so maybe there was a caveat I didn’t see.
Go Simon! How do you think of these great ways to analyze and frame and pump us up?
Keep it up. We need it and can use it in our communications.
It's been weird adjusting to this new hope and optimism the last couple weeks but I am loving it. Did my first canvassing shift in Bucks County, PA. Lucky enough to live just across the river so I can spend time in the state in addition to calling from home, post carding and helping juice turnout locally. LFG! We win when we do the work.
On another note:
"People who believe we are in the Rapture / End of Days shouldn’t be allowed to hold public office since they have no stake in the future of my cats."
Good for you!
Thanks for the update Simon. Appreciate that you keep doing informative interviews with the media. Would love for the Winning the House Campaign to adopt Trisha Calvarese in CO. She is gaining in the polls and running a strong campaign against carpetbagger Lauren Boebert. A little more national financial support will help her throw Boebert out. Thank you!
Any reliable polling that indicates Calvarese has a realistic chance? If memory serves me right, Calvarese recently lost a special election to fill Ken Buck’s vacated seat by 24 percentage points...
Great Question. She did lose the special election to a shill candidate, Greg Lopez. Greg was a no show at a R sponsored debate after Trisha embarrassed him at the first debate. Boebert is not well liked in her new CO district 4. Trisha is raising $ here. A new Defeat Boebert PAC just formed here also. Agree that polls are not great from the national view - but here on the ground, she grows stronger with each speech and is making inroads out in rural CO and the closer in suburbs. It is a fight worth supporting!
Glad to hear. Lauren Boebert does not belong in Congress.
She doesn’t belong in movie theaters either. I hate having to sit next to loud rude jerks. (Luckily, vaping inside public buildings is illegal here.)
Haha! It’s illegal in Denver too. I sometimes work at the theater she was thrown out of. I wasn’t there that night, but believe me that she has become a punch line among my fellow ushers. “Do you know who I am??!!”
LMAO “Alas, we know who you are but we wish we didn’t!”
Fred Wellman recently did a video interview with Trisha Calvarese in a series he calls “In the Hot Seat” where he interviews Dem candidates in tough races. Link: https://youtu.be/hB27JdOtMkM?si=RGaGHHSg0QYy5ZWn
Fred Wellman is former executive director of the Lincoln Project, veteran, and veterans’ advocate. His video pod “On Democracy” appears on the MeidasTouch Network, a fast growing independent media network. Our own Simon appeared on Fred’s pod, I think last week?
Fred’s interview with Trisha was taped before the June special election, which she lost to Greg Lopez. But Trisha continues to barrel toward the general election contest with Boebert. In this interview, she does a great job of answering the question, “Why should you vote for me?”
It’s gonna take a full-throttle effort. Thanx to Simon for leading one of the brigades. The future hinges on ending minority rule, which means fixing the Senate filibuster.
There are many voters that pholsolpically believe one party should never control all three branches of federal government and when one party seems to have a lock on the Whitehouse they split ticket vote deliberately. Removing the filibuster talk encourages this. Let's just do it if we get the opportunity, but not promote it in advance.
SCOTUS is the third branch. Sadly, Democratic "control" is not exactly imminent.
We can’t get elections reform without fixing the filibuster. One party is determined to make voting harder - and they got SCOTUS on board to do just that in Shelby v Alabama (5-4)
A vast majority wants to address gun violence… gotta connect dots. The House voted two years ago to ban assault weapons (without a single GOP vote). It did not even come up in the Senate… because of the filibuster.
Most folks want to address gun violence; they want to save democracy; they want easier and secure voting.
None of that is possible with the filibuster, which the Founding Fathers did not contemplate.
If you don’t connect dots for voters… they might not see.
Maybe I’m overconfident but I can’t see voters splitting their tickets for the crop of jokers running for Senate seats in swing states. Maybe if they were serious people, but Kari Lake, Sam Brown, Eric Hovde, Bernie Moreno, etc. are the very definition of “These are not serious people.”
Once again Simon your work to highlight great candidates continues to lift us up in hope. I just donated to Josh’s campaign and I am very heartened by all of the younger generation who have engaged to make this nation and indeed this world a better place for everyone!
Thank you
Modest! A *modest* lead. Do not take your feet off the gas abd assume all's well. Now is the time to hit him harder!
Hi Simon!
I'm a delegate to the convention from Arizona. I hope to see you there! I'm beyond excited to be casting my vote for our first Madame President!
Contraptions on being a Delegate! I meant congratulations! Thx ArcticStones. Was going to edit but decided oh what the heck? I'm leaving it in! Congratulations Carrie! 😂😂😂
What sort of contraptions? ;)
😂😂
True story:
Many years ago, a CEO was giving a speech at a convention. As he started talking, he peered out over his audience and realized it was a mixed crowd, not just men. Flustered, he corrected himself...
"Dear delegates and ... and ... and ... delicacies…"
I literally laughed out loud! 😂
🤣
Oh that’s a keeper! 😂😂😂
Thanks, Simon. Trump's performance at NABJ reflected just how out of touch he is when it comes to the new demographics of America.
He doesn't get it.
American voters polled that they did not like either Biden or Trump in the 2024 presidential. Biden got the message and did the right thing. Voters now get to reiterate their views of Trump as the only old man standing.
Trump is past his 'expiration date'.
It was really quite something to see how flat-footed the Trump campaign was caught once Biden withdrew. They were banking on beating the “Biden Old!” “Genocide Joe!” “Republicans are better on the economy” drums, but now what have they got? “Kamala Middle Aged?” Listen to any of Trump’s speeches, and he rambles and makes no sense.
Kamala and her team are already beating the “felon” drum, and now the 2020 election case is back with Judge Tanya Chutkan, who is worlds more formidable than Aileen Cannon. And *then* there’s the Shillbilly Breederson albatross around the Republican’s neck.
I feel an energy in the air around Kamala Harris that I haven’t felt since Obama 2008. (For people saying “remember Hillary Clinton” don’t forget there was scandal after scandal, no matter how ginned-up, around the Clinton campaign from the beginning, as well as the Bill Clinton factor; Doug Emhoff is a private citizen.)
And Harris now has David Plouffe!
If the Obama people are gravitating to her campaign it’s for a reason. “Yes we Kam!”
Do not use after: Jan 2021.
Simon, your interviews with candidates are educating me about each individual, but also about our political landscape and the issues our country is facing. I so appreciate this opportunity to hear from these people, previously just names on a roster to me, without having to sort through hype and horserace. Thank you.
Every single one of the candidate interviews is informative and excellent! I too deeply appreciate them.
Simon, all this Hopium is fueling my drive to keep ordering postcards by the hundreds...I've committed my summer to writing them. Thanks again for all your data-driven analysis and honest assessments. Super helpful, and so uplifting. I trust you to be straight with us, as you were through those dark days in July. (Even then, you gave us hope...not easy to do.) And now, I feel like I woke up in a new world, and am giddy, buoyed by so much positivity. Just riding the waves all summer long...🌊🌊🌊🥥🌴💙
You're amazing!
Thank you, Sarah B, you are too kind...honestly, I'm getting more out of this than I'm putting in. I love being part of something bigger than myself and contributing what I can to help. It's such an amazing feeling. 💙🇺🇸💙
"We’ve seen explosion of pro-Kamala, anti-Trump/Vance organic activity on social media, from Zoom events to lonely couch memes."
Here is a rather risqué example of the latter, in the form of a catchy country song. (Nitter is a way to access Twitter posts.)
https://nitter.poast.org/smalls2672/status/1818619895895998877#m
That is classic. I might sign up for AI just to have a song like that in the style of Journey. “One day, couch will find me…”
OMG!
Simon what do you think about Trump's proposed Fox News debate? Obviously it's a trap, but will play into a Trump-friendly both sides media narrative about "disagreeing about debate terms" vs the truth which is he's a chicken shit. I trust the Harris campaign will make the right call, but she could probably wipe the floor with him even at Fox HQ.
They already have an agreement – date, time, place, network and rules.
Trump is not free to change this. Kamala Harris is stating loudly and clearly that Trump’s failure to show up for the agreed-upon debate is an act of cowardice.
This is one of many ways Harris is succeeding in showing American voters that underneath his false strongman persona Trump is a pathetic and cowardly piece of shit. (Excuse my Texan.)
Yep I agree. I just read the full statement (see my comment below).
Harris must send a swift message: She won’t let Trump bully her.
She’ll likely have a comfortable lead after the convention. She won’t need to park herself on a stage where Trump will rattle off one lie after another.
It’s hard to respond to that noise and nonsense.
You know, that coward wouldn't even debate his primary opponents.
Precisely. And I am unbelievably disappointed in Nikki Haley for endorsing him. How could she??
I was not surprised. She has wheels for heels. She has condemned and then endorsed, condemned and then endorsed. What does she really stand for?
I just read the Harris' campaign full statement and I think they're saying the right stuff. Which is paraphrased as "Do the debate you previous agreed to, then we'll discuss more debates. Also, you're a chicken shit baby man."
It’s worth pointing out that Trump’s line about the debate agreement no longer being valid because there’s a different candidate on the ballot is patently false. In fact, all such agreements leave out names just in case of such a contingency.