Discover more from Hopium Chronicles By Simon Rosenberg
Wed, June 28th 1pm EST - Youth Voting Expert John Della Volpe Joins Us Live
RSVP Today - Will be a good one
In 2020, President Biden flipped five battleground states in large part due to the combination of record-level turnout and youth support. Voters aged 45 and older chose Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. President Biden won the under-30 cohort by roughly a 20-point margin and millennial voters in their 30s by high single digits.
In 2022, Democrats again lost voters over the age of 45; it was near record level turnout and double-digit margins among Zoomers and millennials across nearly every battleground state that propelled Democratic Senate and House candidates.
However, despite the high youth engagement levels in the Trump/Zoomer era and support for a progressive agenda -- we must not assume that 2024 will yield the same results.
Nearly every sign that made me confident in historic levels of youth participation in 2018, 2020, and 2022 — is now flashing red. Twenty-plus years of directing the Harvard Youth Poll taught me that the ground is more fertile for voting when youth believe voting makes a tangible difference.
As folks here know I see the youth vote as perhaps the Dems biggest opportunity for growth and expansion in 2024 so we need to take what John has written really seriously. In fact, I’ve asked him to come talk to us about his piece and he will be joining us live next Wednesday at 1pm EST. RSVP here.
If you can’t make it live the discussion will be recorded and available here on the Hopium site. Either way hope you can check in with John’s important new piece, and watch our discussion when you can.
For those who will be joining us next week, see you soon!
Keep working hard all - Simon
John Della Volpe is the director of polling at the Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, where he has led the institute’s polling initiatives on understanding American youth since 2000. John's best-selling book, FIGHT, How Gen Z is Channeling Their Fear and Passion to Save America, has been called "the definitive account of America's next great generation," and "a great read with a tremendous amount of learning for anyone in the business of marketing, selling, or otherwise engaging with the most exciting generation in decades."
John is and NBC and MSNBC Contributor, appearing regularly on Morning Joe; his op-eds have been featured in the New York Times and Washington Post. He is the founder and CEO of SocialSphere, Inc., a public opinion research company headquartered in Massachusetts — and is pollster and advisor to President Biden.