I watched it last night and it brought me to tears. I have a 19 year old granddaughter and her father is MAGA. I wish I could send this to him but it would mean the end of all family relations and I don’t want to lose my granddaughter too. I hope someone sends it to him anonymously.
Curious move. If they want him to win, why wouldn’t they “yes, and” his lies? Why did they release that prisoner to Biden after Trump said they’d do it only for him?
No, I think that Putin is able to recognize a dumpster fire when it becomes obvious. And JD is a walking dumpster fire. Hard at this point for anybody to read what drives Putin, (and he works hard to keep it that way), but I suspect he sees what's coming and is trying to find a position from which to defend his position (which appears to have become somewhat precarious).
I just can’t work out which side of Hanlon’s Razor this stuff is on. Like, is Russia trying to get him elected or trying to keep it close to incite a civil war or just fucking with us generally? Was Vance a dumb pick or a strategic move by Peter Thiel? And so on. It’s probably a waste of my time even to speculate.
Russia wants Trump to win so that he pulls aid to Ukraine, possibly leaves NATO and destabilizes resistance in Europe, and then potentially he could look at Poland or the Baltic States.
Peter Thiel isn't making strategic moves to win the election, in my opinion. I doubt he has any idea what he is doing. What I think he is doing is trying to have someone he controls eventually as President. The big data operation he runs Palantir would be poised to do very well in a Vance administration, and potentially could become a very dangerous tool. It's, as far as I can tell, a larger and more advanced version of Cambridge Analytica.
But yeah I agree this kind of thing is a waste of time to think about. Let's just kick Trump's ass.
What I had heard at the time, although I am forgetting the details somewhat, was that it had more to do with Germany than Trump vs. Biden. There were multiple countries involved in the negotiation, and Putin thought he could only get the prison deal done now.
EARLY VOTING – Thoughts on Pennsylvania from Christopher Bouzy
“Now that we have early vote data, we can better understand what is happening on the ground in PA. In my opinion, early vote data is more reliable than polls… However, you must be careful because early vote data can sometimes be misleading.
“It is still early, and conditions on the ground may shift, but the current developments in Pennsylvania are eye-opening. As of today, 61.6% of absentee and mail-in ballot requests have come from Democrats, a significant figure that could indicate trends leading up to Election Day.
“Democrats aren't just leading in requested ballots; they are also leading in returned ballots by a whopping 72.8%. This may indicate higher enthusiasm among Democratic voters compared to Republicans. However, it is also possible that ballots from key counties are still in transit.
“But the situation for Republicans is even more dire. According to TargetSmart's race modeling data, Black voters represented just 8.8% of the Pennsylvania electorate in 2020. However, that percentage has surged dramatically, with Black voters now making up 19.5% of the vote.
“It is important to understand that while I am analyzing partisan voting patterns, the electorate doesn’t always vote along party lines. Not all Republicans will vote for Trump, and not all Democrats will vote for VP Harris. However, I estimate that Trump will lose 8-10% of Republican support in PA.”
In a recent NYT/Siena poll, 54% of those sampled were men – despite the fact that there are more women voters and they vote at higher rates than men. In fact, the NYT figure is the exact mirror image of the known Early Vote. So far, women account for a striking 54.4% of the vote!
The "not suckers or losers" Vote Vets bus was in Harrisburg yesterday. Held a press conference.
According to 538, Pa is even as of today. Conservative Bullfinch poll shows Harris leading Trump by four percentage points, 50% to 46%, with 4% of voters saying they would vote for someone else. The new Bullfinch poll is one of the best results for Harris in recent weeks, according to poll tracking by the New York Times; polls commissioned in early September by Spotlight PA and the Philadelphia Inquirer also showed Harris up by four or five points.
In the Pa Republican primary, Nikki Haley got 16%. 790,477 voted for Trump. 941,516 voted for Biden in the Democratic primary. Last day to register Oct. 21.
Voters younger than 30 make up about 1.59 million out of Pennsylvania’s 8.86 million voters, according to the registration data. About 45% are Democrats, 32% are Republicans and 23% are independent or unaffiliated voters. We have the capacity to register a lot more Democrats.
As of 12:20pm today, at least 2,837,786 people have voted. In-Person Early Votes: 503,989 • Mail Ballots Returned: 2,333,788. Early Votes have been cast in 27 states. These nine states have at least 100,000 votes:
Just got back from campaign lit drop, heading off to the Harris-Walz Reproductive Freedom tour bus rally and phone bank. Hopium this evening. Today is wonderful!!
Thanks. It's "Do more, worry less," but i think it's unhealthy to not admit we all worry from time to time. Don't forget our grandparents worried the Nazis might win, and their grandparents worried the Confederates would win. History is always inevitable in retrospect. :)
I actually LOLed at that article. There is literally no intel in it, just quotes from 5 random people saying "I'm nervous because it's close," with the implication that we don't already know it's close and should therefore also be very, very nervous. What is "the panic button?" Is it on the same mythical console as the "flashing red lights" I am always hearing about? If I press the panic button is that when the "alarms go off" for the campaign, or should I wait until I see the "warning flares" appearing from my fellow Democrats? Last week Politico told me the Repubs were the ones "beginning to panic." I'm beginning to think this is a stressful line of work!
I just keep thinking of this meme: https://www.facebook.com/thepoliticalcomp/posts/were-so-back-politicalcompass-minecraft-gamers-politigram-ancaps-ancom-democrats/1635488356970897/ People like us who follow this stuff every day act like it's a roller coaster (famously stomach-churning) when in reality it's just one long cruise with a slight bend in the road toward the end. We pay attention to and feel the up and down of every bad or good poll, and yet the average doesn't really change. Now I'm supposed to feel concerned because the averages aren't changing. People are so expentant of the ups and downs that now they are anxious when we aren't getting them. I just have to laugh because the most logical explanation is simple: it has been 9 years now, and either you decided a while ago you are MAGA/anti-Democracy or anti-MAGA/pro-Democracy, those camps aren't changing, the same people who voted for Biden are the same people voting for Harris, some of them just didn't want Biden to run again so when the change-up occurred she vacuumed up everyone he had lost within a week or two. So, of course the convention or the debate or a big interview didn't move the needle any... 98% of people already decided the second the match was set to do the same thing they did four years ago and no good or bad performance will change anything, her better ground game will get the last few folks that ALWAYS wait until the last second, and Harris/Walz will end up pretty much the same as Biden/Harris (or Clinton/Kaine if she had just actually visited the Great Lakes). That is the most likely thing and we all know it.
P.S. The pollsters decided they would rather undercount Dems than overcount them this time. Again, we all know this. Again, the simplest explanation is usually the best one. "She isn't breaking away! Nothing we try is making that happen! Every swing state is still within a percent or two!" Well, yeah. They are swing states. By definition they are too close to call. That just means the polls are actually doing what they are supposed to be doing.
Just donated for North Carolina, btw Anderson Clayton, the D chair is an absolute rock star! Had the pleasure of hearing her speak in person last summer
SWIPE LEFT to uncover Trump's lies about FEMA's Hurricane Helene response. See how Trump's lies contrast to what Republican Governors are saying about FEMA's relief efforts.
For the last 12 days, I've seen so many people and companies helping with Helene. All of us pulled together from our local Fire Departments working search and rescue to the trucking companies bringing trailer roads of supplies. It is common to see personal trucks hauling trailers full of water and packages. It is so good to see these red areas all working together to help one another. That is why it is so sickening to hear how Trump is trying to divide communities and spread misinformation. Glad the elected officials are speaking out against his lies about FEMA and immigrants. On Saturday, Sept. 28th, the Dawgs and Tide played in Tuscaloosa. Trump and MTGreene were at the game. MT Greene's district has the Blue Ridge Mtns in it. She was doing nothing to help or even care about the dangerous flooding taking place in the mountains.
MT Greene then tried to say the Democrats "control the weather." Again trying to make sure Dems and Repubs hate each other. Despicable people. I am so over these hateful people.
Thanks, as always, Simon, for this excellent update. I know others in this thread are nervous (hard not to be, when all common sense says Kamala should be ahead by 30 points), but I’m feeling better and more confident each day, because of the work the campaign is doing, work that people in groups like this are doing, and work that I’ve been doing. Finished all my letters and postcards to swing states, mailing all of them out over the past couple days. When we fight, we do win.
I currently live in South Florida, which will deal with tropical storm force winds and rain. My heart goes out to my fellow Floridians who will be dealing with worse. It angers me how Trump and his merry band of thugs continues to play politics with people's lives. I mean seriously?? The GOP is going to pay the price for this kind of crap and I'm all for it. Enough with this madness! I want my country back! The country of common sense and compassion!
Rant aside, stay safe everyone. And thank you Simon 💙🥥
Thoroughly unscientific data: speaking to financial advisor. Male, end of baby boom. Works in finance. Unsolicited Volunteers to me that he will not renew lease on his Tesla because Musk’s trafficking in lies and fantasy are deeply troubling. Can’t imagine he’s not pulling the lever for Harris/Walz.
The Repub's open embrace of Musk is, hilariously, a perfect encapsulation of why they keep shooting themselves in the foot. The dude is incredibly unpopular. A Musk endorsement of anything at this point is radioactive to the general public. The maga line of thinking is so shallow that they see his enormous subscriber count on a website he literally owns and think "Great! He influences a lot of people! Jump in, dude!" while not bothering to realize that there is another side to that equation: everyone who DOESN'T subscribe to his ramblings is a larger count of people than those who do, and they will all run the other way. You are gaining a lot of people but suffering a net loss. It's the same with Joe Rogan or the Kardashians. Their fanbase being so big makes them unavoidable, but their unavoidability is obnoxious to everyone else. Cheeto drew a lot of disaffected new voters in, but his cartoonishly evil brand drew in EVEN MORE disaffected new voters in merely to vote against him.
I just can't get over how people pointed out Biden's low approval ratings every two seconds, and now that he's out of the picture we aren't hearing about approval ratings at all, only head-to-head matchups. Net approval ratings didn't stop mattering. Harris's has improved by DOUBLE DIGITS in a matter of weeks; she doesn't have majority approval but has a slim NET positive. The other guy still has a majority DISapproval rate, he's been underwater by double digits for a full decade. Hillary had been attacked for 25 years and had a majority disapproval in 2016 also, so she didn't get to 50% of votes... but she still beat him by 3 million in the raw total! People HATE this guy, they have never not hated this guy, more people think Kamala is likeable than don't. "I'm not sure about her but she seems like a nice lady" is more likely to get the vote of the last undecided person than the guy they have been saying no to for a decade. This isn't rocket science.
Have I mentioned lately that I adore Hopium? Just as I love the way this fight we are in together is strengthening my ties with my own community. I'm having conversations with perfect strangers that are meaningful, personal, profound. I'm keeping my worried friends active, instead of worried, by quoting the data Simon has taught us to trust. And isn't it kind of very cool that when you send a photo of the letters you've just written to Vote Forward, a real person on the other end writes back to you to thank you? Yes. We have the momentum. And we are not going back.
Here in Central Florida the emergency managers have all EXPLICITLY called out social media misinformation as a serious threat that folks need to be on the lookout for. Milton is going to do a major number on us here and once again MAGA is going out of its way to hurt its own to score points on social media. These folks don't give a damn about anything other than online notoriety that they can turn into profit. Because as much as I despise MAGA and everyone involved, everyone I have interacted with this week during prep has been helpful and everyone is trying to help each other. The way MAGA is twisting tragedies makes me....angry.
Glad my donations are set to auto pay so even if(likely when) I lose power my support is still going out. And when the weather settles my ballot is ready to be turned in.
They didn't givea damn when COVID was killing thousands of people every week, either. We find out today that the despicable cheeto Mussolini sent COVID tests to his master in Russia. Just mindblowing that anyone could truly think this jerkoff and his merry band of grifting thugs will be "better for the country." 🤯🤬 VoteBlueNoMatterWho2024 💙🥳
Just donated to NC. Earlier today I mailed more postcards, this time to western PA. Head down, doing the work I can do, drawing inspiration from all of you and everyone involved in trying to bring this victory home.
Just curious - what state are you in ?
So if I'm reading that correctly, it's a better ratio this time ?
What poll showing Trump gaining 7?
I could be wrong BUT I thought heard Newsweek is owned by right wingers
Friends we need to leave our anxiety at Hopium's door. Thank you.
I'm not worried about & neither should anyone else be. Polls don't vote - people do.
This is fantastic--how are they distributing a short film like this, do you know? How does it get seen by those who need to see it?
I watched it last night and it brought me to tears. I have a 19 year old granddaughter and her father is MAGA. I wish I could send this to him but it would mean the end of all family relations and I don’t want to lose my granddaughter too. I hope someone sends it to him anonymously.
Send me his email and I’ll send it to him. My 2 daughters are the reason why I’m 1000% in this election cycle.
Must be painful when even the Kremlin is fact-checking your campaign’s false claims!
https://www.axios.com/2024/10/09/trump-putin-covid-testing-equipment-kremlin
We are the champions. 🏆🏋️♂️💪
he is the loser. 😩🏁
Curious move. If they want him to win, why wouldn’t they “yes, and” his lies? Why did they release that prisoner to Biden after Trump said they’d do it only for him?
Maybe they're dumping him for a younger man, like, say, JD!
No, I think that Putin is able to recognize a dumpster fire when it becomes obvious. And JD is a walking dumpster fire. Hard at this point for anybody to read what drives Putin, (and he works hard to keep it that way), but I suspect he sees what's coming and is trying to find a position from which to defend his position (which appears to have become somewhat precarious).
Perhaps his handlers have concluded that Agent Orange is far too stable to even be an unwitting, witless agent.
I just can’t work out which side of Hanlon’s Razor this stuff is on. Like, is Russia trying to get him elected or trying to keep it close to incite a civil war or just fucking with us generally? Was Vance a dumb pick or a strategic move by Peter Thiel? And so on. It’s probably a waste of my time even to speculate.
Yes, it is a waste of time to speculate.
Russia wants Trump to win so that he pulls aid to Ukraine, possibly leaves NATO and destabilizes resistance in Europe, and then potentially he could look at Poland or the Baltic States.
Peter Thiel isn't making strategic moves to win the election, in my opinion. I doubt he has any idea what he is doing. What I think he is doing is trying to have someone he controls eventually as President. The big data operation he runs Palantir would be poised to do very well in a Vance administration, and potentially could become a very dangerous tool. It's, as far as I can tell, a larger and more advanced version of Cambridge Analytica.
But yeah I agree this kind of thing is a waste of time to think about. Let's just kick Trump's ass.
Well said. Let’s.
What I had heard at the time, although I am forgetting the details somewhat, was that it had more to do with Germany than Trump vs. Biden. There were multiple countries involved in the negotiation, and Putin thought he could only get the prison deal done now.
Because they know he's doomed.
EARLY VOTING – Thoughts on Pennsylvania from Christopher Bouzy
“Now that we have early vote data, we can better understand what is happening on the ground in PA. In my opinion, early vote data is more reliable than polls… However, you must be careful because early vote data can sometimes be misleading.
“It is still early, and conditions on the ground may shift, but the current developments in Pennsylvania are eye-opening. As of today, 61.6% of absentee and mail-in ballot requests have come from Democrats, a significant figure that could indicate trends leading up to Election Day.
“Democrats aren't just leading in requested ballots; they are also leading in returned ballots by a whopping 72.8%. This may indicate higher enthusiasm among Democratic voters compared to Republicans. However, it is also possible that ballots from key counties are still in transit.
“But the situation for Republicans is even more dire. According to TargetSmart's race modeling data, Black voters represented just 8.8% of the Pennsylvania electorate in 2020. However, that percentage has surged dramatically, with Black voters now making up 19.5% of the vote.
“It is important to understand that while I am analyzing partisan voting patterns, the electorate doesn’t always vote along party lines. Not all Republicans will vote for Trump, and not all Democrats will vote for VP Harris. However, I estimate that Trump will lose 8-10% of Republican support in PA.”
https://spoutible.com/thread/36639336
In a recent NYT/Siena poll, 54% of those sampled were men – despite the fact that there are more women voters and they vote at higher rates than men. In fact, the NYT figure is the exact mirror image of the known Early Vote. So far, women account for a striking 54.4% of the vote!
https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/
Scroll down for totals for each gender. States reporting gender data: CO, GA, ID, MI, NC.
The "not suckers or losers" Vote Vets bus was in Harrisburg yesterday. Held a press conference.
According to 538, Pa is even as of today. Conservative Bullfinch poll shows Harris leading Trump by four percentage points, 50% to 46%, with 4% of voters saying they would vote for someone else. The new Bullfinch poll is one of the best results for Harris in recent weeks, according to poll tracking by the New York Times; polls commissioned in early September by Spotlight PA and the Philadelphia Inquirer also showed Harris up by four or five points.
In the Pa Republican primary, Nikki Haley got 16%. 790,477 voted for Trump. 941,516 voted for Biden in the Democratic primary. Last day to register Oct. 21.
Voters younger than 30 make up about 1.59 million out of Pennsylvania’s 8.86 million voters, according to the registration data. About 45% are Democrats, 32% are Republicans and 23% are independent or unaffiliated voters. We have the capacity to register a lot more Democrats.
https://www.mobilize.us/ft6/
Bullfinch has 800.
Hi Peter. I feel like a total "Old" but I keep seeing posts that reference TFG. What does this stand for? Embarrassed....
- Gordy
As of 12:20pm today, at least 2,837,786 people have voted. In-Person Early Votes: 503,989 • Mail Ballots Returned: 2,333,788. Early Votes have been cast in 27 states. These nine states have at least 100,000 votes:
VA 573,644•
MI 393,593•
FL 316,434•*
PA 266,259•*
NJ 263,718•*
IL 203,995
MD 201,695•*
WI 180,465•
MN 107,421
https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/
*) States that report party registration: CA, CO, CT, DE, DC, FL, IA, ID, KY, ME, MD, NE, NV, NJ, NM, NC, OR, PA, RI, SD, WV.
•) States with updates today.
Well dayamn, praying for THIS!!!!
It was fun to watch Kamala on Colbert last night. You call see it on the CBS website https://www.cbs.com/shows/video/Je0JENs6fsIBY_LaFLAkiAATKW1zsRr4/
and The Late Show youtube channel. https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCMtFAi84ehTSYSE9XoHefig
Just got back from campaign lit drop, heading off to the Harris-Walz Reproductive Freedom tour bus rally and phone bank. Hopium this evening. Today is wonderful!!
Really needed the dispatch today. I canvassed twice last weekend, but I admit I'm feeling more nervous than I've ever been. Apparently, I'm not alone?
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4922690-democrats-nervous-kamala-harris-campaign/
I'm staying positive, and I'm out there every weekend until we finish. Just know you're not alone if you feel the same way.
Everyone has some anxiety, but I think it is the goal and purpose of this community not to bring it here, into this space.
"I'm staying positive, and I'm out there every weekend until we finish," is a pretty far cry from the kind of comments that get you banned here.
For starters don't read right wing publications like The Hill. Do yourself a favor.
Thanks. It's "Do more, worry less," but i think it's unhealthy to not admit we all worry from time to time. Don't forget our grandparents worried the Nazis might win, and their grandparents worried the Confederates would win. History is always inevitable in retrospect. :)
I actually LOLed at that article. There is literally no intel in it, just quotes from 5 random people saying "I'm nervous because it's close," with the implication that we don't already know it's close and should therefore also be very, very nervous. What is "the panic button?" Is it on the same mythical console as the "flashing red lights" I am always hearing about? If I press the panic button is that when the "alarms go off" for the campaign, or should I wait until I see the "warning flares" appearing from my fellow Democrats? Last week Politico told me the Repubs were the ones "beginning to panic." I'm beginning to think this is a stressful line of work!
I just keep thinking of this meme: https://www.facebook.com/thepoliticalcomp/posts/were-so-back-politicalcompass-minecraft-gamers-politigram-ancaps-ancom-democrats/1635488356970897/ People like us who follow this stuff every day act like it's a roller coaster (famously stomach-churning) when in reality it's just one long cruise with a slight bend in the road toward the end. We pay attention to and feel the up and down of every bad or good poll, and yet the average doesn't really change. Now I'm supposed to feel concerned because the averages aren't changing. People are so expentant of the ups and downs that now they are anxious when we aren't getting them. I just have to laugh because the most logical explanation is simple: it has been 9 years now, and either you decided a while ago you are MAGA/anti-Democracy or anti-MAGA/pro-Democracy, those camps aren't changing, the same people who voted for Biden are the same people voting for Harris, some of them just didn't want Biden to run again so when the change-up occurred she vacuumed up everyone he had lost within a week or two. So, of course the convention or the debate or a big interview didn't move the needle any... 98% of people already decided the second the match was set to do the same thing they did four years ago and no good or bad performance will change anything, her better ground game will get the last few folks that ALWAYS wait until the last second, and Harris/Walz will end up pretty much the same as Biden/Harris (or Clinton/Kaine if she had just actually visited the Great Lakes). That is the most likely thing and we all know it.
P.S. The pollsters decided they would rather undercount Dems than overcount them this time. Again, we all know this. Again, the simplest explanation is usually the best one. "She isn't breaking away! Nothing we try is making that happen! Every swing state is still within a percent or two!" Well, yeah. They are swing states. By definition they are too close to call. That just means the polls are actually doing what they are supposed to be doing.
Bingo - spot on!
Just donated for North Carolina, btw Anderson Clayton, the D chair is an absolute rock star! Had the pleasure of hearing her speak in person last summer
SWIPE LEFT to uncover Trump's lies about FEMA's Hurricane Helene response. See how Trump's lies contrast to what Republican Governors are saying about FEMA's relief efforts.
https://thedemlabs.org/2024/10/07/uncover-trump-lies-about-femas-hurricane-helene-response-interactive-app/
For the last 12 days, I've seen so many people and companies helping with Helene. All of us pulled together from our local Fire Departments working search and rescue to the trucking companies bringing trailer roads of supplies. It is common to see personal trucks hauling trailers full of water and packages. It is so good to see these red areas all working together to help one another. That is why it is so sickening to hear how Trump is trying to divide communities and spread misinformation. Glad the elected officials are speaking out against his lies about FEMA and immigrants. On Saturday, Sept. 28th, the Dawgs and Tide played in Tuscaloosa. Trump and MTGreene were at the game. MT Greene's district has the Blue Ridge Mtns in it. She was doing nothing to help or even care about the dangerous flooding taking place in the mountains.
MT Greene then tried to say the Democrats "control the weather." Again trying to make sure Dems and Repubs hate each other. Despicable people. I am so over these hateful people.
Thanks, as always, Simon, for this excellent update. I know others in this thread are nervous (hard not to be, when all common sense says Kamala should be ahead by 30 points), but I’m feeling better and more confident each day, because of the work the campaign is doing, work that people in groups like this are doing, and work that I’ve been doing. Finished all my letters and postcards to swing states, mailing all of them out over the past couple days. When we fight, we do win.
I currently live in South Florida, which will deal with tropical storm force winds and rain. My heart goes out to my fellow Floridians who will be dealing with worse. It angers me how Trump and his merry band of thugs continues to play politics with people's lives. I mean seriously?? The GOP is going to pay the price for this kind of crap and I'm all for it. Enough with this madness! I want my country back! The country of common sense and compassion!
Rant aside, stay safe everyone. And thank you Simon 💙🥥
Stay safe, Ruth!
Thanks!
Thoroughly unscientific data: speaking to financial advisor. Male, end of baby boom. Works in finance. Unsolicited Volunteers to me that he will not renew lease on his Tesla because Musk’s trafficking in lies and fantasy are deeply troubling. Can’t imagine he’s not pulling the lever for Harris/Walz.
The Repub's open embrace of Musk is, hilariously, a perfect encapsulation of why they keep shooting themselves in the foot. The dude is incredibly unpopular. A Musk endorsement of anything at this point is radioactive to the general public. The maga line of thinking is so shallow that they see his enormous subscriber count on a website he literally owns and think "Great! He influences a lot of people! Jump in, dude!" while not bothering to realize that there is another side to that equation: everyone who DOESN'T subscribe to his ramblings is a larger count of people than those who do, and they will all run the other way. You are gaining a lot of people but suffering a net loss. It's the same with Joe Rogan or the Kardashians. Their fanbase being so big makes them unavoidable, but their unavoidability is obnoxious to everyone else. Cheeto drew a lot of disaffected new voters in, but his cartoonishly evil brand drew in EVEN MORE disaffected new voters in merely to vote against him.
I just can't get over how people pointed out Biden's low approval ratings every two seconds, and now that he's out of the picture we aren't hearing about approval ratings at all, only head-to-head matchups. Net approval ratings didn't stop mattering. Harris's has improved by DOUBLE DIGITS in a matter of weeks; she doesn't have majority approval but has a slim NET positive. The other guy still has a majority DISapproval rate, he's been underwater by double digits for a full decade. Hillary had been attacked for 25 years and had a majority disapproval in 2016 also, so she didn't get to 50% of votes... but she still beat him by 3 million in the raw total! People HATE this guy, they have never not hated this guy, more people think Kamala is likeable than don't. "I'm not sure about her but she seems like a nice lady" is more likely to get the vote of the last undecided person than the guy they have been saying no to for a decade. This isn't rocket science.
Good Morning Everyone! When We Fight, We Win! Proud to be in this war for democracy with all of you.
Have I mentioned lately that I adore Hopium? Just as I love the way this fight we are in together is strengthening my ties with my own community. I'm having conversations with perfect strangers that are meaningful, personal, profound. I'm keeping my worried friends active, instead of worried, by quoting the data Simon has taught us to trust. And isn't it kind of very cool that when you send a photo of the letters you've just written to Vote Forward, a real person on the other end writes back to you to thank you? Yes. We have the momentum. And we are not going back.
yes Beth!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Here in Central Florida the emergency managers have all EXPLICITLY called out social media misinformation as a serious threat that folks need to be on the lookout for. Milton is going to do a major number on us here and once again MAGA is going out of its way to hurt its own to score points on social media. These folks don't give a damn about anything other than online notoriety that they can turn into profit. Because as much as I despise MAGA and everyone involved, everyone I have interacted with this week during prep has been helpful and everyone is trying to help each other. The way MAGA is twisting tragedies makes me....angry.
Glad my donations are set to auto pay so even if(likely when) I lose power my support is still going out. And when the weather settles my ballot is ready to be turned in.
They didn't givea damn when COVID was killing thousands of people every week, either. We find out today that the despicable cheeto Mussolini sent COVID tests to his master in Russia. Just mindblowing that anyone could truly think this jerkoff and his merry band of grifting thugs will be "better for the country." 🤯🤬 VoteBlueNoMatterWho2024 💙🥳
Just donated to NC. Earlier today I mailed more postcards, this time to western PA. Head down, doing the work I can do, drawing inspiration from all of you and everyone involved in trying to bring this victory home.
Same here .. its hard to say no.