I am involved with a south Asian group in Georgia and leadership is pushing for an uncommitted vote in the primary where it won’t hurt democrats but still voice disapproval of the situation with the Palestinians. But a lot of these will likely vote for Biden in the general election (from the people I know).
The protest vote in Mich was just that -- a wake-up call to Biden about how we, as a nation, are attempting to resolve this intractable Middle East conflict. I don't know how the Administration is gaining insights on what to do next. Is there a panel of experts with whom they are consulting? If so, maybe they could share those findings with all of us voters? BTW, I voted for Biden, straight up!
– "Hailey runner-up, Trump second-last in Michigan"
– "Democratic uncommitted vote roughly same as Obama’s in 2012"
– "Biden exceeds Michigan polls, Trump with woeful under-performance"
– "Republican non-Trump vote 32%, Democratic non-Biden vote only 19%"
.
I get so tired of the biased headlines from NYT, Axios and much of the news media! As Simon points out, any objective view of yesterday’s primary results would highlight President Biden’s strengths and ex-president Trump’s weaknesses and consistent under-performance.
Moreover, given how Trump has shown a high single-digit or even double-digit shortfall compared to polling in every single GOP primary and caucus, political pundits should be seriously questioning the accuracy of polls that place Trump ahead or even with President Biden.
Thanks Simon, another great post. If anyone is interested in getting involved by writing postcards to folks in the primaries, you can get involved by going to www.centerforcommonground.com. There are detailed instructions, and you can get free postcards from your local organizer, or their main office. I’m writing ones now for the primary in GA, with pre-printed “Reclaim Our Vote” cards, that will be mailed starting 4/22-5/9. You just need to buy the stamps for them.
I've been writing daily to NYTimes journalists and editors about the paper's anti-Biden bias. Below is today's letter about Nate Cohn's off base coverage of the Michigan Primary. Please write in too.
Stop twisting yourself in knots. Without the "Uncommitted" vote, Biden would have gotten 96% of the vote..if half the "Uncommitted" voters vote for Biden in November, he gets 90% of the primary voters. Mr. Trump lost ~30% of the GOP primary voters in a Democratic state that Biden won in 2020 by 150,000. Has the Times lost its ability to do basic math? Perhaps the Times has entered the realm of "alternative facts"; a strange discipline to take away from the Trump administration. Given the facts, I'd sure rather be Biden than Trump, not just in Michigan, but in the general election. When will the Times stop embarrassing itself and begin reporting 2024 election trends accurately? ...........Thanks Merrill Weingrod 401-480-8003
I am intrigued by Trump's underperformance relative to the polling. You say "when it comes time to actually vote" some people don't vote for him. I picture people in the polling booth pausing and deciding to vote for Haley. An alternate explanation would rely on who turned out in these primaries. Do you have information about whether turn out by various demographics was not what was expected?
Thank you for the sanity of Hopium. I would suggest that you use a current photo of the Orange Horror instead of any photo that makes him look normal in any way at all. Your photo should match the substance of your post.
I am loving this new Democratic approach Simon! It's about 20 years late to hit the mainstream, but I have a feeling you were spreading this message the whole time (wish I knew of you sooner in my political enlightenenment).
I also loved the Newsoms clip . We need to be stronger than the bullies and not submit to their talking points.
If we can manage to get those capable of being persuaded to read the truth about the importance of November's election so well expressed in this morning's newsletter, it would be impossible to for them to vote for another Trump presidency. I loved Malcolm Turnbull's comments of Trump's infantile behavior when he met Putin for the first time. Your optimism should help all of us to do anything that we can to help Biden be re-elected with and a Congress willing to work with him.
Palm Beach County is Trump’s Mar-A-Lago home base.There are internal conflicts within local GOP and fundraising is way down. But their Lobsterfeast 🦞 was successful..🤣
I don't comment much, but do have a personal perspective on Michigan. It's my home state, and I was born and bred in Macomb County. Biden cracking 80% in the face of a protest vote is immense. Objectively and respectfully, what is occurring in Israel/Palestine is a significant issue, more so in our Arab-American communities. The stakes are much greater for many, personally, than they could ever be for me. My only stance is a call for nothing short of peace and an understanding that any way forward must include acceptance and mutual respect. This is exactly what I would like Biden to project at all times.
Given this, Biden topping 80% is a huge win. It tells me he has not lost all support in these minority communities. In other words, this is good news for November. A percentage protest vote remains significant, and Biden should be advised to tend those fences.
Prime Minister Turnbull knows what time it is! Donnie T is a grade A loser and a fool and I never tire of laughing at him - a cheap, chubby huckster. Holy smokes - the Apex RINO known as Trump is leading the Republican Party straight off a cliff. Truly, I cannot be made to fear that man.
I note that on Tuesday Donald Trump received 756,697 votes (with 99% of the vote counted) and Biden received 618,426 (with 95% of the Democratic votes counted). Trump received almost as many votes as all the votes cast in the Democratic primary.
I know this is a primary with a much lower turnout, and it indicates the battleground character of the state, but I would appreciate hearing from anyone with any comments on this disparity. I did check the votes in Michigan in the 2020 election: Biden won Michigan 2,804,040 votes to Trumps 2,649,852. I hope Trump continues to underperform, but it seems that we have work to do to get Biden to the level he had in 2020, even though the stakes are much higher this year.
Simon, thanks for the Do More Worry Less section. Helpful. When do we ramp up (and target) postcard campaigning? (I really appreciate your breakdown of facts and statistics; it is the most hopeful anywhere and they will be useful for postcarding too I think; I'm working on simple declarative sentences but not sure how to target them for best effect.)
Great post as always. Thank you Simon! Here is Simon on Daily Kos, enjoy!
Doing more and worrying less!
https://www.youtube.com/live/v3GS8Q8RcMI?si=UyRaYkCtmgp0C4SF
I am involved with a south Asian group in Georgia and leadership is pushing for an uncommitted vote in the primary where it won’t hurt democrats but still voice disapproval of the situation with the Palestinians. But a lot of these will likely vote for Biden in the general election (from the people I know).
The protest vote in Mich was just that -- a wake-up call to Biden about how we, as a nation, are attempting to resolve this intractable Middle East conflict. I don't know how the Administration is gaining insights on what to do next. Is there a panel of experts with whom they are consulting? If so, maybe they could share those findings with all of us voters? BTW, I voted for Biden, straight up!
Imaginary New York Times headlines:
– "Hailey runner-up, Trump second-last in Michigan"
– "Democratic uncommitted vote roughly same as Obama’s in 2012"
– "Biden exceeds Michigan polls, Trump with woeful under-performance"
– "Republican non-Trump vote 32%, Democratic non-Biden vote only 19%"
.
I get so tired of the biased headlines from NYT, Axios and much of the news media! As Simon points out, any objective view of yesterday’s primary results would highlight President Biden’s strengths and ex-president Trump’s weaknesses and consistent under-performance.
Moreover, given how Trump has shown a high single-digit or even double-digit shortfall compared to polling in every single GOP primary and caucus, political pundits should be seriously questioning the accuracy of polls that place Trump ahead or even with President Biden.
.
Thanks Simon, another great post. If anyone is interested in getting involved by writing postcards to folks in the primaries, you can get involved by going to www.centerforcommonground.com. There are detailed instructions, and you can get free postcards from your local organizer, or their main office. I’m writing ones now for the primary in GA, with pre-printed “Reclaim Our Vote” cards, that will be mailed starting 4/22-5/9. You just need to buy the stamps for them.
I've been writing daily to NYTimes journalists and editors about the paper's anti-Biden bias. Below is today's letter about Nate Cohn's off base coverage of the Michigan Primary. Please write in too.
You can write to: nate.cohn@nytimes.com joe.kahn@nytimed.co david.halbfinger@nytimes.com .....
....................................................................
Stop twisting yourself in knots. Without the "Uncommitted" vote, Biden would have gotten 96% of the vote..if half the "Uncommitted" voters vote for Biden in November, he gets 90% of the primary voters. Mr. Trump lost ~30% of the GOP primary voters in a Democratic state that Biden won in 2020 by 150,000. Has the Times lost its ability to do basic math? Perhaps the Times has entered the realm of "alternative facts"; a strange discipline to take away from the Trump administration. Given the facts, I'd sure rather be Biden than Trump, not just in Michigan, but in the general election. When will the Times stop embarrassing itself and begin reporting 2024 election trends accurately? ...........Thanks Merrill Weingrod 401-480-8003
When, oh when, will the insufferable Dean Phillips read the writing on the wall and suspend his embarrassing campaign?
I am intrigued by Trump's underperformance relative to the polling. You say "when it comes time to actually vote" some people don't vote for him. I picture people in the polling booth pausing and deciding to vote for Haley. An alternate explanation would rely on who turned out in these primaries. Do you have information about whether turn out by various demographics was not what was expected?
Thank you for the sanity of Hopium. I would suggest that you use a current photo of the Orange Horror instead of any photo that makes him look normal in any way at all. Your photo should match the substance of your post.
I am loving this new Democratic approach Simon! It's about 20 years late to hit the mainstream, but I have a feeling you were spreading this message the whole time (wish I knew of you sooner in my political enlightenenment).
I also loved the Newsoms clip . We need to be stronger than the bullies and not submit to their talking points.
If we can manage to get those capable of being persuaded to read the truth about the importance of November's election so well expressed in this morning's newsletter, it would be impossible to for them to vote for another Trump presidency. I loved Malcolm Turnbull's comments of Trump's infantile behavior when he met Putin for the first time. Your optimism should help all of us to do anything that we can to help Biden be re-elected with and a Congress willing to work with him.
Palm Beach County is Trump’s Mar-A-Lago home base.There are internal conflicts within local GOP and fundraising is way down. But their Lobsterfeast 🦞 was successful..🤣
https://www.palmbeachpost.com/story/news/politics/2024/02/27/palm-beach-county-republicans-struggle-to-work-out-conflicts-in-2024/72268802007/
👕🛒🧢 Still much work to do to turn Florida Blue !🌊
I don't comment much, but do have a personal perspective on Michigan. It's my home state, and I was born and bred in Macomb County. Biden cracking 80% in the face of a protest vote is immense. Objectively and respectfully, what is occurring in Israel/Palestine is a significant issue, more so in our Arab-American communities. The stakes are much greater for many, personally, than they could ever be for me. My only stance is a call for nothing short of peace and an understanding that any way forward must include acceptance and mutual respect. This is exactly what I would like Biden to project at all times.
Given this, Biden topping 80% is a huge win. It tells me he has not lost all support in these minority communities. In other words, this is good news for November. A percentage protest vote remains significant, and Biden should be advised to tend those fences.
Prime Minister Turnbull knows what time it is! Donnie T is a grade A loser and a fool and I never tire of laughing at him - a cheap, chubby huckster. Holy smokes - the Apex RINO known as Trump is leading the Republican Party straight off a cliff. Truly, I cannot be made to fear that man.
On the Michigan primary:
I note that on Tuesday Donald Trump received 756,697 votes (with 99% of the vote counted) and Biden received 618,426 (with 95% of the Democratic votes counted). Trump received almost as many votes as all the votes cast in the Democratic primary.
I know this is a primary with a much lower turnout, and it indicates the battleground character of the state, but I would appreciate hearing from anyone with any comments on this disparity. I did check the votes in Michigan in the 2020 election: Biden won Michigan 2,804,040 votes to Trumps 2,649,852. I hope Trump continues to underperform, but it seems that we have work to do to get Biden to the level he had in 2020, even though the stakes are much higher this year.
Simon, thanks for the Do More Worry Less section. Helpful. When do we ramp up (and target) postcard campaigning? (I really appreciate your breakdown of facts and statistics; it is the most hopeful anywhere and they will be useful for postcarding too I think; I'm working on simple declarative sentences but not sure how to target them for best effect.)