Hopium Chronicles By Simon Rosenberg

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Friday Sketchpad: AI Is Here, Biden Engages Freedom Caucus, New Agenda for Women/Families

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Expert commentary from a 30-year veteran of US politics. Together we work on strategies to defeat MAGA, tell our story more effectively, and ensure freedom and democracy prevail. Expect sharp analysis, live events, and all sorts of Hopium!
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Friday Sketchpad: AI Is Here, Biden Engages Freedom Caucus, New Agenda for Women/Families

On Fridays, will share a sketchpad - things I'm thinking about, noted during the week

Simon Rosenberg
Mar 24, 2023
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Friday Sketchpad: AI Is Here, Biden Engages Freedom Caucus, New Agenda for Women/Families

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AI Is Here. We Aren’t Ready - AI is here, and its going change politics. A lot. Not sure how yet but man oh man do we need to talk about it. Look at what Trump posted this week. This is going to come at us very fast now.

Twitter avatar for @paleofuture
Matt Novak @paleofuture
Trump just shared a fake AI-created image of himself praying on Truth Social forbes.com/sites/mattnova…
Image
6:23 PM ∙ Mar 23, 2023
2,677Likes365Retweets

More Bad DeSantis Polling, Trump Surging in Polls - In my big DeSantis piece last week I talked about how bad the polling had been for the bumbling golden boy governor, raising an age old political question of whether a candidate can crash before they launch. Our friend Bill Kristol has a sharp take on some of this new data:

Twitter avatar for @BillKristol
Bill Kristol @BillKristol
Moment of truth soon for GOP donors, electeds and conservative elites. If Trump is likely not to conveniently implode or fade away, will they spend real money and political capital to try to stop him? Or do they accommodate, with self-pitying private grumbling and public silence? https://t.co/6wG9fv39Dr
Twitter avatar for @Nate_Cohn
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Monmouth shows Trump continuing to gain in the presidential primary, with Trump up 41-27. This is longest-long-term trend from a high-quality poll in the race. Since December, Trump has gained 15 points while DeSantis has lost 12 points= https://t.co/2xhtECqfy1
4:01 PM ∙ Mar 23, 2023
252Likes70Retweets

It is my sincere belief that the epic awfulness, criminality and extremism of both Trump and DeSantis is a central reason why Democrats should be strategizing on how to expand our coalition and get to 55 this year. GOP becoming among most unappealing political parties in American history, and we should try to re-imagine what is possible with voters in 2024.

Notes on TikTok, Twitter and Something Better Then Social Media - Pleased to see the focus this week on TikTok, but we need a much broader conversation about the many, ongoing challenges to the integrity of our daily discourse. Our nation’s discourse has been degraded by foreign manipulation, by the decades of lying from Fox “Swen,” (news spelled backwards), by social media itself. It is a core belief here at Hopium Chronicles that our policy makers have to do far more to reclaim the integrity of our discourse, and that we also need to keep working to innovate together to get to a better place beyond the current social media age (why I am here on Substack).

Yes we have to get loud, become info warriors for democracy, but we also cannot accept any longer a media landscape where a few people - Mark Z, Elon, the folks at Google - have some much power, and make their money by surveilling us and selling that info to others. It’s hurting us, our democracy and we have to find a better way, together. One of my goals here at H/C is to help lead this conversation in the coming months.

I also think this work can get connected to a broader project I’ve been thinking about in recent weeks and is still in an early form - a new agenda for women and families - something that can tie together things like improving our domestic discourse, limiting gun violence, codifying Roe, improving health outcomes and providing more people insurance (esp in FL and TX). The contrast between this approach and the R approach of banning books, stripping women of freedoms, etc could become a very powerful contrast for us in the months ahead.

Biden Engaged the Freedom Caucus Budget This Week - The White House spent the week talking about the extreme Freedom Caucus economic plan, and working to create a contrast between their forward-looking, people-first economic approach and the lunacy of what the Rs are putting forward. It’s was a good week for team Biden as this is smart stuff.

As folks here know it’s my belief that creating this basic contrast on the economy:

Dems = growth, lower deficits, American progress

Rs = recession, higher deficits, American decline

is one of our highest narrative and message priorities this cycle. Chris Cadelago and Lauren Egan have a new Politico piece about this effort and quote me:

Hear You On More Digestible Content - Gotten a lot of feedback about needing to make our content here simpler, more digestible. Hearing you on this. Need some time to figure this out, as for years I’ve been talking to political and policy professionals and not voters. My content was designed for more expert audiences, and it’s going to take me some time, perhaps a few months, to figure out how to take my work and make it easier for people to access and use.

Honestly I have learned a lot from all of you already. Have gotten really terrific and constructive feedback. One thing to keep in mind - the more paid subscribers we have the more time I can spend here. It’s not a pitch, just a reality. So the faster we grow this community the faster I can start developing a new, more digestible content stream.

Two weeks in am really pleased with how this is going. Keep working hard, keep offering good faith advice, and let’s keep growing this community together. Thanks so much for being part of these early days.

Onward, Simon

pink-white flowers beside body of water overlooking white dome building during daytime
Photo by R M on Unsplash

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Friday Sketchpad: AI Is Here, Biden Engages Freedom Caucus, New Agenda for Women/Families

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Friday Sketchpad: AI Is Here, Biden Engages Freedom Caucus, New Agenda for Women/Families

www.hopiumchronicles.com
Lori DiGisi
Mar 24Liked by Simon Rosenberg

Hi Simon, I’m new to your work, and I appreciate the thoughtful approach you take to explaining the political landscape. I am married to an “old conservative” as opposed to radical conservative. We have many discussions about the economy and the policies that impact it. Any charts you can provide on how “Things get Better with Democrats”, like your presentation would be appreciated. As I am not in finance by trade, it is a learning curve. Thanks!

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Ann
Mar 24

Some contrarian feedback: Keep doing what you are good at - "My content was designed for more expert audiences..." and leave it to others -- perhaps a future partner, perhaps not -- to make it digestible. There are plenty of glib marketers in the business. We need what you do.

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