I'm curious why Congressional Dems aren't taking advantage of the fossil fuel energy shocks to message about Trump's decision to destroy the renewables sector (and why outlets like MS NOW aren't talking about the environmental damage he's wreaking). Simon, do you have any thoughts about this? I imagine Capitol Hill could use some guidance here-- thanks!!
I imagine Simon will discuss this Wednesday. I saw a recent poll on Threads that had Hilton in first place, Becerra and Steyer tied for second, then Bianca in fourth. I’m no expert but if this holds it suggests Trump goofed in endorsing Hilton. With debates coming up I would imagine this will get sorted. I’m not in CA though.
California has a huge vote by mail program and ballots begin to go out May 4. There is a candidate forum for all candidates polling 5% or higher this Wednesday aka Earth Day (Becerra, Steyer, Porter, Mahan, and the 2 GOPs).
I saw a poll post-Swalwell, sorry I don't remember who, but it was a well known legitimate pollster that said there was an 87% chance it would be a Dem and a GOP in the finals (most likely Steyer and Hilton) an 8.5% chance it would be the 2 GOPs and a 5.5% chance it would be 2 Dems (most likely Steyer and Porter)
23% are undecided, and I suspect they break approximately 60-40% Dem like the state in general or possibly even more so because there are more choices on our side, which means the blue candidates should rise once those undecideds decide. I imagine most GOP voters are locked in one way or another already. Hopefully some of the lower candidates will drop out to help the blue team further. The outcome is not a sure bet, but no time to panic.
A poll is just a poll until we go to the polls, but maybe that will provide you some small comfort, Nancy.
I think that's a bit of an overreaction Nancy - Swalwell getting out has helped, and as mentioned Trump endorsing Hilton may have helped consolidate Republican support on that side. My guess is as we inch closer to the actual primary a few more Democrats will drop out - as the pressure on them ramps up to do so. Like Michael said, polls aren't votes so try not to let them stress you out. Also, I would try not to let the scare articles get to you. Journalists and content creators alike need pieces get clicks! Remember they thrive on people being "frightened" into clicking on their pages.
Tim Walz and Chris Murphy were recently in Spain at a "liberal internationale" conference, something I remember you calling for some time ago. Both of their speeches were quite good and are available on YouTube. The underlying premise is that progressive groups must work internationally to fight fascism and build a better world.
I called Congressman Raskin and Senators Alsobrooks and Van Hollen to say that the president is not in touch with reality (see, e.g., this weekend's post-a-palooza on social media) and must leave or be removed from office.
The idea of a world progressive group is fantastic! Chris Murphy was one of the speakers in Barcelona, along with other world leaders to call out strongman populism for the sham that it is. This kind of global alliance is crucial to help prevent another trump not just here in the US but globally.
Making my list of things to mention to Sens. Booker & Kim in today's calls - basically calling for hearings on the war (of attrition) and the resulting effects on the economy. This is not Vietnam, which divided the working class from the college student protestors. We're ALL getting hammered (well, not literally. THAT behavior is restricted to our wonderful FBI director.)
Also called Rep. Chris Smith (Traitor-NJ04) yesterday, and demanded that he speak out about Orange's mental unfitness. That fool (Smith) think's he's unbeatable. He better take a look around.
i sense that all the big time global financial leaders and countries are freaking out about his war. and until our msm stops just reporting the madman's tweets and not the real, serious, in depth news, the world will continue to suffer. there is no easy way out of this as simon says. so the msm bullhorn & spotlight would really help end it expeditiously rather than tip toeing around this colossal fool who has wrought such damage. first step: dont report his tweets anymore.
Calls to Sens Hagerty and Blackburn (hold nose) today and to Rep. Burchett (hold other nostril closed) to say: 1) vote to remove war powers (we're getting close to the 60 days, after which Trump has to say SOMETHING to Congress about what the hell he's doing in Iran); 2) no reconciliation bill to fund ICE/CBP for TEN YEARS or even for one without reforms; 3) no SAVE Act--through reconciliation bill amendment or otherwise. I usually get voicemail--but so much to say before the time runs out!
Friends, I have no fucking idea how we are going to contain, and eventually get rid of this guy… And once we do, I have even less of an idea the full scope of the catastrophic mess and impossibly deep hole we will find ourselves in, let alone how we will clean it up and climb out.
But I do know this… We WILL because we MUST. And when you MUST….you CAN. We just have to keep solving one problem at a time… It gives me a lot of comfort to know I’m not in this alone.
Same here. We've been digging this hole at least since Reagan, and this is what it's taken to wake us (some of us anyway) the hell up. And the temptation will be great to go back to same old same-old (Reagan? Bush I? Clinton? Bush II?) because in hindsight it looks a lot better than this -- at least to white people.
The only thing I would gently push back on at least as it pertains to economics… The people in our family who continue to insist that Bill Clinton was the same as the Republicans, are not really doing proper justice to history. Now he made some compromises that I wish he hadn’t… Like the Glass Stegal act probably should’ve stayed in place, and from where we are sitting right now don’t ask don’t tell was terrible… But in the context that he was governing in, he had to make some pretty damn hard choices to stop worse things from happening. For example, the defense of marriage act philosophically is a complete piece of shit… But, a agreeing to sign that into federal law was also a preventative measure from the Republicans, forcing a constitutional amendment vote, and we had so many southern Democrats still in place at the time Who were very socially conservative, that I’m not sure it wouldn’t have gotten the veto proof majorities that needed to send out to the states for ratification… And it’s a hell of a lot easier to overturn a federal law than it is to undo a bad constitutional amendment. Clinton raised taxes on the wealthy, something neither Obama nor Joe Biden were able to get done, he raised the minimum wage, something that has been stagnant forever since then, he tried to pass universal healthcare, and his own party wouldn’t agree to let him do it through budget reconciliation so we got Claude on that one. And the welfare reform Bill was a terrible piece of shit, but it was nothing compared to what Newt Gingrich would have written himself, and then Clinton used his leverage in the second half of his presidency to try to improve what was bad about the first bill that he had to sign. So, his presidency wasn’t perfect, but there’s an awful lot of people in the Democratic family who are super critical of his economic policy, who are not being particularly honest about the good things that he did, nor the challenges that he was working under with a Gingrich lead Congress in both chambers… He really did a lot to turn the ship in a better direction so that Obama could be more progressive than he was, and Joe Biden was more progressive than either of them because he was standing on their shoulders… It’s just very unfortunate that the things that Joe Biden did, as big as they were, didn’t take affect fast enough for the American people to really feel it. There are many things about Clinton that should not be defended, but I will always defend his economic record, not as perfect, but as far better than the rap he gets from progressive in our own party and coalition who either don’t remember a lot of things, or are applying philosophies in a vacuum without any context for the environment in which he had to govern.
Such madness hardly even makes headlines these days. There will be lots of "building back better" once we get beyond this sad, corrupt unnatural disaster.
Alt National Park Service has mobilized its supporters to lobby companies that are in the outdoor recreation business and rely on public lands. There is a HUGE number of companies stepping up.
(I think Kushkof might be a better mash up, it rings Russian.) This week, I signed up for an in person Ossoff fundraiser and for poll worker training re: June 2 election in CA. Last time I worked the polls many came to the wrong polling place, they simply voted via provisional. Hope it stays that drama free. My gut says Dems. will be out in force; Reps. won’t bother. Reps. are still tuned out.
Thanks for the update. I have 15 postcards I completed over the weekend to get in the mail today. Next week, work trip (to Hawaii!!) and I'm not bringing along postcards and markers. I don't know what airfare is like these days, but I got my flights well before the war started.
Kevin Hassett will literally say any BS. I call him the "Hassett Hound" because he will follow orders like a good boy, all with that ridiculous grin on his face. It isn't the first time he has been on TV spouting absolute nonsense, usually to friendly interviewers who barely challenge any of it. He's like Bagdad Bob but with economics.
What I hope happens is that after all this is done (whatever that turns out to mean) it will convince more people that we need to broadly transform our energy economy away from fossil fuels. We need a fleet of electric vehicles, renewable generation, and a smart electrical grid. This will create more jobs than investing in AI data centers, and have a larger impact on society than AI.
My feeling about AI is that real advancement will come with algorithmic improvements rather than massive data center investments. I think by allowing money to be centralized in a very few hands, along with the tax cuts, is that we are over investing in AI, and as a result not more broadly investing across different areas of the economy.
I’m laying low today, but tomorrow I will be at the county admin bldg for the usual Cty Bd of Sups meeting, where I will enquire about poll watching. I think my county is now 100% vote by mail, and I certainly vote early and from the safety of my armchair, but I think there are still in-person jobs to be done. CA primary ballots are due by June 2.
For those who want to help from afar on the Citizens Bank effort (convincing them to stop financing the building and operating of ICE warehouse prisons), they've got online actions (https://www.de-icecitizensbank.org/toolkit) leading up to a protest outside the annual shareholders meeting in Providence RI on Thursday and protests at most branches on Saturday.
"War of attrition" is right, that's where Trump put us. Our Revolution was a war of attrition--as long as we didn't lose, we would win.
The home team usually wins wars of attrition. Hegseth and Trump don't know this lesson of history, of course, but they are learning.
Or not learning.
I'm curious why Congressional Dems aren't taking advantage of the fossil fuel energy shocks to message about Trump's decision to destroy the renewables sector (and why outlets like MS NOW aren't talking about the environmental damage he's wreaking). Simon, do you have any thoughts about this? I imagine Capitol Hill could use some guidance here-- thanks!!
What about California governors race? Looks bad for Democrats so far!! HELP!
I imagine Simon will discuss this Wednesday. I saw a recent poll on Threads that had Hilton in first place, Becerra and Steyer tied for second, then Bianca in fourth. I’m no expert but if this holds it suggests Trump goofed in endorsing Hilton. With debates coming up I would imagine this will get sorted. I’m not in CA though.
Why is it bad for Democrats? And please, we don't do panic here.....
California has a huge vote by mail program and ballots begin to go out May 4. There is a candidate forum for all candidates polling 5% or higher this Wednesday aka Earth Day (Becerra, Steyer, Porter, Mahan, and the 2 GOPs).
I saw a poll post-Swalwell, sorry I don't remember who, but it was a well known legitimate pollster that said there was an 87% chance it would be a Dem and a GOP in the finals (most likely Steyer and Hilton) an 8.5% chance it would be the 2 GOPs and a 5.5% chance it would be 2 Dems (most likely Steyer and Porter)
23% are undecided, and I suspect they break approximately 60-40% Dem like the state in general or possibly even more so because there are more choices on our side, which means the blue candidates should rise once those undecideds decide. I imagine most GOP voters are locked in one way or another already. Hopefully some of the lower candidates will drop out to help the blue team further. The outcome is not a sure bet, but no time to panic.
A poll is just a poll until we go to the polls, but maybe that will provide you some small comfort, Nancy.
I think that's a bit of an overreaction Nancy - Swalwell getting out has helped, and as mentioned Trump endorsing Hilton may have helped consolidate Republican support on that side. My guess is as we inch closer to the actual primary a few more Democrats will drop out - as the pressure on them ramps up to do so. Like Michael said, polls aren't votes so try not to let them stress you out. Also, I would try not to let the scare articles get to you. Journalists and content creators alike need pieces get clicks! Remember they thrive on people being "frightened" into clicking on their pages.
Simon, thanks for the great update.
Tim Walz and Chris Murphy were recently in Spain at a "liberal internationale" conference, something I remember you calling for some time ago. Both of their speeches were quite good and are available on YouTube. The underlying premise is that progressive groups must work internationally to fight fascism and build a better world.
I called Congressman Raskin and Senators Alsobrooks and Van Hollen to say that the president is not in touch with reality (see, e.g., this weekend's post-a-palooza on social media) and must leave or be removed from office.
The idea of a world progressive group is fantastic! Chris Murphy was one of the speakers in Barcelona, along with other world leaders to call out strongman populism for the sham that it is. This kind of global alliance is crucial to help prevent another trump not just here in the US but globally.
https://www.aol.com/news/murphy-tells-us-world-progressives-215850038.html
Making my list of things to mention to Sens. Booker & Kim in today's calls - basically calling for hearings on the war (of attrition) and the resulting effects on the economy. This is not Vietnam, which divided the working class from the college student protestors. We're ALL getting hammered (well, not literally. THAT behavior is restricted to our wonderful FBI director.)
Also called Rep. Chris Smith (Traitor-NJ04) yesterday, and demanded that he speak out about Orange's mental unfitness. That fool (Smith) think's he's unbeatable. He better take a look around.
Keep going!
i sense that all the big time global financial leaders and countries are freaking out about his war. and until our msm stops just reporting the madman's tweets and not the real, serious, in depth news, the world will continue to suffer. there is no easy way out of this as simon says. so the msm bullhorn & spotlight would really help end it expeditiously rather than tip toeing around this colossal fool who has wrought such damage. first step: dont report his tweets anymore.
100% !
Small cracks can become big cracks in corporate media dereliction of duty too.
Just - for a minute - just forget everything you know about the state of affairs of your country and your government.
And, you click on a very brief teaser of a daily political opinion show, and this is what you hear:
https://davidpakman.substack.com/p/preview-the-week-from-hell-is-only?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
And, you know, it's just Monday.... that's all.
Calls to Sens Hagerty and Blackburn (hold nose) today and to Rep. Burchett (hold other nostril closed) to say: 1) vote to remove war powers (we're getting close to the 60 days, after which Trump has to say SOMETHING to Congress about what the hell he's doing in Iran); 2) no reconciliation bill to fund ICE/CBP for TEN YEARS or even for one without reforms; 3) no SAVE Act--through reconciliation bill amendment or otherwise. I usually get voicemail--but so much to say before the time runs out!
“It always seems impossible until it’s done.”
——Nelson Mandella
Friends, I have no fucking idea how we are going to contain, and eventually get rid of this guy… And once we do, I have even less of an idea the full scope of the catastrophic mess and impossibly deep hole we will find ourselves in, let alone how we will clean it up and climb out.
But I do know this… We WILL because we MUST. And when you MUST….you CAN. We just have to keep solving one problem at a time… It gives me a lot of comfort to know I’m not in this alone.
Love to you all.
❤️🇺🇸
Same here. We've been digging this hole at least since Reagan, and this is what it's taken to wake us (some of us anyway) the hell up. And the temptation will be great to go back to same old same-old (Reagan? Bush I? Clinton? Bush II?) because in hindsight it looks a lot better than this -- at least to white people.
There is no going back to what was before, although there will be temptation. To quote Steve, We WILL because we MUST and when we MUST, we CAN.
We MUST fight for consequences for the perps, once the Mad King is off the stage.
The only thing I would gently push back on at least as it pertains to economics… The people in our family who continue to insist that Bill Clinton was the same as the Republicans, are not really doing proper justice to history. Now he made some compromises that I wish he hadn’t… Like the Glass Stegal act probably should’ve stayed in place, and from where we are sitting right now don’t ask don’t tell was terrible… But in the context that he was governing in, he had to make some pretty damn hard choices to stop worse things from happening. For example, the defense of marriage act philosophically is a complete piece of shit… But, a agreeing to sign that into federal law was also a preventative measure from the Republicans, forcing a constitutional amendment vote, and we had so many southern Democrats still in place at the time Who were very socially conservative, that I’m not sure it wouldn’t have gotten the veto proof majorities that needed to send out to the states for ratification… And it’s a hell of a lot easier to overturn a federal law than it is to undo a bad constitutional amendment. Clinton raised taxes on the wealthy, something neither Obama nor Joe Biden were able to get done, he raised the minimum wage, something that has been stagnant forever since then, he tried to pass universal healthcare, and his own party wouldn’t agree to let him do it through budget reconciliation so we got Claude on that one. And the welfare reform Bill was a terrible piece of shit, but it was nothing compared to what Newt Gingrich would have written himself, and then Clinton used his leverage in the second half of his presidency to try to improve what was bad about the first bill that he had to sign. So, his presidency wasn’t perfect, but there’s an awful lot of people in the Democratic family who are super critical of his economic policy, who are not being particularly honest about the good things that he did, nor the challenges that he was working under with a Gingrich lead Congress in both chambers… He really did a lot to turn the ship in a better direction so that Obama could be more progressive than he was, and Joe Biden was more progressive than either of them because he was standing on their shoulders… It’s just very unfortunate that the things that Joe Biden did, as big as they were, didn’t take affect fast enough for the American people to really feel it. There are many things about Clinton that should not be defended, but I will always defend his economic record, not as perfect, but as far better than the rap he gets from progressive in our own party and coalition who either don’t remember a lot of things, or are applying philosophies in a vacuum without any context for the environment in which he had to govern.
I’m so upset about another illegal action by Trump. Our national forests! We need action against this. Will call my reps today but what else to do? https://www.hatchmag.com/articles/trump-administration-orders-dismantling-us-forest-service/7716263?utm_source=Sidney+Hillman+Foundation&utm_campaign=e77cdc573d-SP_2025_12_12_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_-73a8db7644-197674633
To be clear, Trump is dismantling all research and relocating the offices of NSF to Utah.
Such madness hardly even makes headlines these days. There will be lots of "building back better" once we get beyond this sad, corrupt unnatural disaster.
Alt National Park Service has mobilized its supporters to lobby companies that are in the outdoor recreation business and rely on public lands. There is a HUGE number of companies stepping up.
(I think Kushkof might be a better mash up, it rings Russian.) This week, I signed up for an in person Ossoff fundraiser and for poll worker training re: June 2 election in CA. Last time I worked the polls many came to the wrong polling place, they simply voted via provisional. Hope it stays that drama free. My gut says Dems. will be out in force; Reps. won’t bother. Reps. are still tuned out.
Who woulda thought we'd be celebrating the 250th anniversary of overthrowing a mad king while living under a mad president?
Thanks for the update. I have 15 postcards I completed over the weekend to get in the mail today. Next week, work trip (to Hawaii!!) and I'm not bringing along postcards and markers. I don't know what airfare is like these days, but I got my flights well before the war started.
Kevin Hassett will literally say any BS. I call him the "Hassett Hound" because he will follow orders like a good boy, all with that ridiculous grin on his face. It isn't the first time he has been on TV spouting absolute nonsense, usually to friendly interviewers who barely challenge any of it. He's like Bagdad Bob but with economics.
What I hope happens is that after all this is done (whatever that turns out to mean) it will convince more people that we need to broadly transform our energy economy away from fossil fuels. We need a fleet of electric vehicles, renewable generation, and a smart electrical grid. This will create more jobs than investing in AI data centers, and have a larger impact on society than AI.
My feeling about AI is that real advancement will come with algorithmic improvements rather than massive data center investments. I think by allowing money to be centralized in a very few hands, along with the tax cuts, is that we are over investing in AI, and as a result not more broadly investing across different areas of the economy.
I’m laying low today, but tomorrow I will be at the county admin bldg for the usual Cty Bd of Sups meeting, where I will enquire about poll watching. I think my county is now 100% vote by mail, and I certainly vote early and from the safety of my armchair, but I think there are still in-person jobs to be done. CA primary ballots are due by June 2.
In case you're looking for more ways to be involved this week online (after VA support ends)...
Stand Up for Science has an Earth Day zoom on Wednesday at 8 eastern: https://www.standupforscience.net/sufs-earth-day-2026
The DNC and Swing Left are hosting a zoom on Thursday at 8 eastern about the DNC collaborating better with grassroots groups. I'm eager for that one. More info here: https://grassrootsconnector.substack.com/p/working-with-the-dnc
For those who want to help from afar on the Citizens Bank effort (convincing them to stop financing the building and operating of ICE warehouse prisons), they've got online actions (https://www.de-icecitizensbank.org/toolkit) leading up to a protest outside the annual shareholders meeting in Providence RI on Thursday and protests at most branches on Saturday.