24 Comments

Thank you for interrupting your Sunday to give us this encouraging information.

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Thank you for this. After reading about events in Russia I believe getting to 55 is a must.

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We have to work hard together and have fun!

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This made my Sunday. How do i send you my latest linkedin blog without having to go through hoops?

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This is really good news. I agree with your emphasis on data and the polls with the least bias. In my profession, I fight bias all the time. Your approach, Simon, is a model of clarity and consistency. I wish more reports adopted your honesty.

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Very Good news Simon, thanks,but still very worried about third party diversion.

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Per the Bulwark re: the 2024 presidential race polling vis-a-vis the real EC state count polling as of last Thursday:

“Pretending that close national polls between Trump and Biden mean that the race is close is like a sportscaster insisting that a football game is close because one team has 300 total yards and the other has 275—even though the score is 31 to 10.”

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Any concern that "No Labels" is going to toss a wrench into all of this?

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Also... the polls indicate, "Dems lead in Congressional Generic 48-46." But how much do we have to lead by in order to overcome gerrymandering?

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Thank you for this, Simon. I’ve been pushing back on some negating of the good news and the hints of hope for the future. It’s so important to take the good news where we can find Orr, no matter how small.

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Clyburn :

“But I will say this. I go about my business every day comparing Joe Biden to the alternative, not the Almighty.”

Imv polls about hypotheticals are worthless. This goes double for so-called approval ratings. I am not happy about Biden because he is not as vocal about fascism (and all its ramifications) as I would like. So, am I counted as disspproval?

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You alway produce great messaging. So pleased you put this out today.

Regarding how to amplify messaging, looked up some podcasts. Notice MeidasTouch, DSR, Cafe Insider, Charlie Sykes often put out shorter podcasts, 15 min. or so. You could do that. Not everything has to be many paragraphs or an hour long recording or even have guests. You are already highly experienced in marshaling data and presenting it in an appealing manner.

Your Zoom calls are very listenable, concise, almost crisp delivery of information that is well-honed. Granted you probably spend huge amounts of time gathering the info. Lots of what you wrote today could be spoken into a podcast. You could have a standard opening like: “Greetings Hopium subscribers. We have positive, encouraging info. to share with the community.”

Truly grateful for all you do.

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Woot! Thanks for taking your Sunday time for us!

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Thank you for the good news. If Trump's ceiling is 45 percent, then Biden's, barring third party intervention, is 55 percent. We've seen that some of the lack of support for Biden in approval polls is people who want him to do more, who don't think he is progressive enough. They will come home in 2024. I'm confident that Biden will gain more votes in 2024 than he did in 2020. The House will be Democratic; the big question is the Senate, and it all depends on the Republican presidential nominee and the Senate Republican nominees, neither of which is looking good.

I second the comments about the clarity and straightforwardness of your analysis. Given your track record in 2022, and your long history, it's very trustworthy. It helps me to do what the Buddhists call "staying upright in suffering" or "staying upright in difficult times," with confidence in the future and doing the work needed to make it a positive future, step by step.

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Personally, I am not at all pleased with a 4% Biden lead over Trump, particularly with positive economic news and Trump indictments.

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Thank you Simon, you are awesome. Happy Sunday !!

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