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Perfect! Thanks Simon
I’ve probably heard Joe Biden deliver his, “It’s never ever been a good bet to bet against the American People” line 200 times, but it still always stirs up emotion in me....I’m glad they’re using that in their ad campaign’s because it’s one of the things I can feel the most sincerity behind in his speeches 🇺🇸
The story about job creation under Democratic presidents is nice, but seems unconvincing to me. Is there a narrative that explains what specific policy actions led to this job growth? I realize that it is complicated, but if there is such a narrative then it would make the statistics more meaningful and convincing. Are there macroeconomists who have written about this issue whose work can be referred to and summarized?
Reminder that if you want to help make a difference—it starts with states! Literally.
When it comes to what affects our daily lives, state legislatures pass 23X more laws than Congress—the Dobbs decision overturning Roe came from the MI state legislature. Over half of state chambers draw not only state legislative districts, but also Congressional districts—giving gerrymandered, minority rule MAGA states an outsize impact on the rest of the country. They function as the bench (pipeline) for higher office, with about half of our Presidents having been in state legislatures, including Obama, FDR and Lincoln!
And, if you're like me and NOT a billionaire, for your contribution to have the biggest impact, donate to state legislative races—where budgets are in the tens or hundreds of thousands vs. millions and tens of million like any single Congressional race (let alone the Presidential)—this is where your dollars can do the most good.
Finally, if you're ready to phone bank, canvass or donate for the most strategic, winnable races to hold VA's Senate and flip the House of Delegates, check out Sister District Project (https://sisterdistrict.com); they've been 100% laser focused on state legislatures since 2017.
As we always say, elections matter...and it starts with states.
I love the Biden ad - strong, fact-based, and optimistic. Glad to know our contributions to the campaign help support that economic message. Hopefully our Democratic elected officials will reinforce in press interviews.
For those who missed it: In a CNN interview last night, Gavin Newsom showed his Democratic colleagues how to unequivocally endorse Joe Biden and Kamala Harris: "I want a seasoned pro that knows how to get things done. And the results are in: It's been a master class in terms of performance - bipartisan deals on infrastructure, bipartisan deals on guns and debt ceiling, on the CHIPS and Science Act. There's simply been no administration in my lifetime that has been more effective in producing more substantive results." On the question of whether Kamala Harris is the best person to be on the ticket, he answered without flinching: “Of course she is. The answer is yes, absolutely.” Fellow Information Warriors and Democratic elected officials, please take note!
Also last night, President Biden gave powerful words at a Broadway fundraiser. A few excerpts from his remarks: "I’m running because democracy is at stake, because in 2024 democracy is on the ballot once again. Let there be no question, Donald Trump and his MAGA Republicans are determined to destroy American democracy. And I will always defend, protect and fight for our democracy. I will not side with dictators like Putin. Maybe Trump and his MAGA friends can bow down, but I won’t."
On the subject of Biden’s age, he skillfully linked his experience with effectiveness and he did so with his trademark humor, humanity and optimism: "You may have noticed, a lot of people seem focused on my age. Well I get it. Believe me. I know better than anyone. I am more optimistic about the future of this country than in the 800 years I have served. When this nation was flat on its back, I knew what to do. On Ukraine, I knew what to do, to rebuild alliances. When democracy was at stake, I knew what to do. I believe we are hopeful optimistic nation driven by a simple proposition that everybody deserves a fair shot, just a shot."
Simon, could you home in further on the role of the media in some of these polls (eg, Trump is more fit than Biden)? All the D messaging in the world is not going to drown out MTP, CNN, network news. I'm thinking about low-info voters--which makes them sound dumb, but it's more they're just not that tuned in, even to the (growing) threat of fascism. And I do think some economic issues (inflation) have more salience than others (job growth). Thanks for all you do!
Lincoln Project has just come out with a new ad highlighting Biden's experience, statesmanship and economic achievements. It's compelling.