To me it's actually shocking the imperical advantages we have over the GOP, yet this remains competitive. I think it proves the importance and need for Hopium. The right wing media will lie and distort anything to push their agenda, while most mainstream media is focused on the horse race and covering stories that will push their profits.
Good at connecting the dots. Again, Simon. Yes, most folks aren't paying attention this far out. More will tune in as Trump goes to trial in the coming weeks. It's going to be ugly. Again. Elections typically come down to choices. The choice will be clear. I remain quietly comfortable. Abortion, democracy....and good chance Trump will be a convicted felon by November. Plus, he calls our troops "suckers and losers." Easy choice. Hard to see him expanding his base from the low 40s?
Easy choice. Biden for the win in November. Love listening. Will see you on Tuesday on Lawrence O'Donnells show. Watching from WA state where we are having Governor retiring this yr. Voting 💙. No worries. Cannot wait for trial on Monday.
I'm going to have to push back a bit on your stat of the day. The figures you put up are a bit deceptive (not trying to sound pejorative), since there were >9 million jobs lost during COVID. I think a more fair measure is to look at the median job gain across all months, as the outliers (like during the COVID period) are minimized. For Republicans this was 93,000 jobs while for Democrats this was 236,000 jobs. So Dems come out ahead, but these figures I think are more fair. I don't think you should advertise the graph you made (as good as it looks!) because it can be easily criticized by anyone with a college-level statistics knowledge.
Here is a stat which I like. There has been a lot of talk about how polls suggest that Black and Hispanic voters are moving towards Republicans. An interesting fact is that while Trump got 12% of the black vote in 2020 and recent polls have this at up to 25%, in fact during 2022 midterms only 5% (!) of black voters voted for Republican candidates. In my view polls may not be very accurate in predicting actual voting for some voting blocks or when taken at certain times (like months before the actual vote). A similar analysis holds for Hispanic voters.
I just got off a catch-up call with a family member, a life-long Republican who told me today she is now "for choice" (!). She will not vote for Donald Trump, is completely disgusted with him and has changed 180 degrees. Bringing up the issue of "age" she said she wished we had younger candidates. I asked if she had voted for the young candidate in 2008. She admitted she hadn't (good point, she said) but added, "I was actually happy he got elected." I mentioned Biden is the only person to ever beat Trump, and giving up incumbency is never a good idea (her husband was a State Senator, she knows). "But, that's why we have Vice Presidents. No matter what happens to a President there is someone standing in the wings; and we have a great one in Kamala Harris," I said. She really had not thought of that. I cannot get over the joy I feel knowing this person, once all-in, a generations-long GOP family legacy, is now a pro-choice Biden voter. One at a time, everybody. There must be more of these folks everywhere. As Simon keeps telling us, we can do this. Loud and proud.
Great CNN spot just now, Simon. The narrative really is shifting this week. And as you point out, it's going to change coverage and politicians' behavior when that shift is recognized.
To me it's actually shocking the imperical advantages we have over the GOP, yet this remains competitive. I think it proves the importance and need for Hopium. The right wing media will lie and distort anything to push their agenda, while most mainstream media is focused on the horse race and covering stories that will push their profits.
Good at connecting the dots. Again, Simon. Yes, most folks aren't paying attention this far out. More will tune in as Trump goes to trial in the coming weeks. It's going to be ugly. Again. Elections typically come down to choices. The choice will be clear. I remain quietly comfortable. Abortion, democracy....and good chance Trump will be a convicted felon by November. Plus, he calls our troops "suckers and losers." Easy choice. Hard to see him expanding his base from the low 40s?
Great Job Sir!!
I received an email from Carolina Forward and one of their featured articles was about a wonderful milestone achieved by the NC AG's office.
https://www.axios.com/local/raleigh/2024/04/09/north-carolina-clears-decades-long-rape-kit-backlog-ag-josh-stein-says?
Many of you know that Josh Stein, our current AG, is running for Governor against the MAGA nut case, current Lt. Goverernor Mark Robinson:
https://www.realmarkrobinson.com/
Quite a contrast we've got in that race - maybe even as big as Biden vs. Trump.
North Carolina can use all the help we can get, so here's a hearty thank you for those who have donated to the NCDP via Simon's link or who are writing Field Team 6 postcards (https://fieldteam6.herokuapp.com/getting_started) and/or sending texts (https://www.fieldteam6.org/byop-textbanks) to regisiter new NC voters or who are banking Vote Forward letters (www.votefwd.org) to GOTV in North Carolina!
Just finished my stack of PA Primary postcards!
Easy choice. Biden for the win in November. Love listening. Will see you on Tuesday on Lawrence O'Donnells show. Watching from WA state where we are having Governor retiring this yr. Voting 💙. No worries. Cannot wait for trial on Monday.
Simon,
I'm going to have to push back a bit on your stat of the day. The figures you put up are a bit deceptive (not trying to sound pejorative), since there were >9 million jobs lost during COVID. I think a more fair measure is to look at the median job gain across all months, as the outliers (like during the COVID period) are minimized. For Republicans this was 93,000 jobs while for Democrats this was 236,000 jobs. So Dems come out ahead, but these figures I think are more fair. I don't think you should advertise the graph you made (as good as it looks!) because it can be easily criticized by anyone with a college-level statistics knowledge.
Here is a stat which I like. There has been a lot of talk about how polls suggest that Black and Hispanic voters are moving towards Republicans. An interesting fact is that while Trump got 12% of the black vote in 2020 and recent polls have this at up to 25%, in fact during 2022 midterms only 5% (!) of black voters voted for Republican candidates. In my view polls may not be very accurate in predicting actual voting for some voting blocks or when taken at certain times (like months before the actual vote). A similar analysis holds for Hispanic voters.
Terrific presentation on MSNBC.
I just got off a catch-up call with a family member, a life-long Republican who told me today she is now "for choice" (!). She will not vote for Donald Trump, is completely disgusted with him and has changed 180 degrees. Bringing up the issue of "age" she said she wished we had younger candidates. I asked if she had voted for the young candidate in 2008. She admitted she hadn't (good point, she said) but added, "I was actually happy he got elected." I mentioned Biden is the only person to ever beat Trump, and giving up incumbency is never a good idea (her husband was a State Senator, she knows). "But, that's why we have Vice Presidents. No matter what happens to a President there is someone standing in the wings; and we have a great one in Kamala Harris," I said. She really had not thought of that. I cannot get over the joy I feel knowing this person, once all-in, a generations-long GOP family legacy, is now a pro-choice Biden voter. One at a time, everybody. There must be more of these folks everywhere. As Simon keeps telling us, we can do this. Loud and proud.
Great CNN spot just now, Simon. The narrative really is shifting this week. And as you point out, it's going to change coverage and politicians' behavior when that shift is recognized.
Thank you Simon for all your hard work leading the charge! I really maintain positivity when I listen to you!