Hamas just fired missiles at a border crossing where aid was being brought in, forcing it to close. Before this, Hamas has a long history of stealing and diverting aid for their own use or profit. Things are not so simple...
Sheila, I am taking this post down because it has false and misleading information in it. If you want to repost it ensuring it is correct feel free to do so. Thank you.
Ty Simon. I just read a 538 Poll yesterday. It wasn’t in our favor as of then. It was an interactive map of the USA. I don’t rely on them it still always out. I’m sure we will be fine. Thank u for these polls though!
Great news to start the new week! We are busy in Oregon with our DEM Neighbor Leader Program! And DT is so broke, he could not afford the $3500 for a statement in the OR Voter Pamphlet. :-) So it looks like he isn't even running. 😂
This is excellent news. The 538 pollster ratings rank ABC News as the second most accurate pollster, behind only the New York Times/Siena College. Marist is ranked #6. These are among the gold standard of pollsters. That's out of more than 200 pollsters ranked, based on their historical accuracy in predicting elections and their transparency about their methods.
If Biden is up 4-5 percent in these polls among likely voters, that's most likely where likely voters actually are. I suspect some of this has to do with Trump being in the courtroom for the past two weeks (not a good look) and the bad news on abortion from Florida and Arizona. Remember that likely voters are the Americans who are most likely to be paying attention to the news, because it matters for how they will vote. I expect their social interactions with the broader class of registered voters will bring some of them around to Biden, and to voting in the fall election.
Simon I recently watched a video that claimed that pollsters use the census to build their models of the electorate. The host then argued that COVID hit Republican voters disportionately, making the census data too skewed and resulting in polls that are too generous to GOP vote share.
I don't know enough about the polling industry to tell how accurate this is, but it sounds like a plausible explanation for what is happening right now with the consistent undercounting of Democratic support.
This advice is for Republicans who read Simon's posts (all seven of them): Mr. Trump says it's too easy to rig early and mail-in votes, so WAIT FOR ELECTION DAY TO VOTE! Tell your friends and family!
Can we get a vote on day one social media post going? That graphic today would be great! Oregon has just received ballots for the May 21 primary - let’s remind Oregonians to vote on day one!
Cannot wait almost 0 problems in decades of mail in. Register in person or online mail vote or plentiful drop offs track your ballot online and know when it arrives and is counted. Why not everyone? Lifelong resident of Oregon. Not a perfect place but strong voting laws.
Lindsey “Lickspittle Toady” Graham said that if the GOP allowed Trump to become its face, the GOP would be destroyed, and deserve it. Of course, Grovelin’ Graham full-on embraced his evil overlord once said evil overlord was actually installed, but, nobody accused Graham of having a spine, either.
Graham may be a cowardly and not a courageous Cassandra, but I think he was right.
For anyone who is a Vote Forward letter writer, I wanted to share an upcoming Zoom event on how to message reluctant voters in Swing states. Here is the blurb from Olivia B. who coordinates a virtual letter writing party for Do The Most Good that meets weekly:
"We are all hoping the letters will encourage infrequent voters in swing states to vote in the November election by writing something that resonates with them. Wouldn't it be good to know what really matters to voters in those states to help you craft your message? Or do you wonder how to talk with friends or relatives who aren't sure if they will vote in November? Well, DoTheMostGood has the event for you! Sign up for our "Messaging Reluctant Voters" virtual event on May 15th from 7 - 8:00 pm EDT. Paul Kendrick, Executive Director, Rust Belt Rising, will tell us about his research on the issues important for voters in swing states and how to address them in productive ways."
Friends, please consider sharing this post through your networks. It's important we get this data out there. Onward!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Hamas just fired missiles at a border crossing where aid was being brought in, forcing it to close. Before this, Hamas has a long history of stealing and diverting aid for their own use or profit. Things are not so simple...
Sheila, I am taking this post down because it has false and misleading information in it. If you want to repost it ensuring it is correct feel free to do so. Thank you.
Thank you for keeping an eye out for us. And for all you do!
💙💙💙👏👏thank u Simon for all you do for us.
Ty Simon. I just read a 538 Poll yesterday. It wasn’t in our favor as of then. It was an interactive map of the USA. I don’t rely on them it still always out. I’m sure we will be fine. Thank u for these polls though!
I don't really know what this means.
It’s 6 days a go on YouTube 538 Poll
Five thirty eight political podcast
Watching their focus groups
I also listen to the Bulwark
Thank you for that good news!
Great way to start the week - thanks Simon!!
Perfect! Thank you. Ann
This is wonderful and uplifting news!
Here is a cartoon by Jake Hamilton that shows what is at stake – and the simple solution.
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/5/4/2238858/-Greetings-Daily-Kos
Clever and brilliant cartoon. Connects the dots, doesn’t it?
Great news to start the new week! We are busy in Oregon with our DEM Neighbor Leader Program! And DT is so broke, he could not afford the $3500 for a statement in the OR Voter Pamphlet. :-) So it looks like he isn't even running. 😂
DT is running, all right – from past statements and deeds, legal bills, and responsibility.
What if dem leader? I have not seen this on red wine blue for oregon. I’m in maga heaven in the country
This is excellent news. The 538 pollster ratings rank ABC News as the second most accurate pollster, behind only the New York Times/Siena College. Marist is ranked #6. These are among the gold standard of pollsters. That's out of more than 200 pollsters ranked, based on their historical accuracy in predicting elections and their transparency about their methods.
If Biden is up 4-5 percent in these polls among likely voters, that's most likely where likely voters actually are. I suspect some of this has to do with Trump being in the courtroom for the past two weeks (not a good look) and the bad news on abortion from Florida and Arizona. Remember that likely voters are the Americans who are most likely to be paying attention to the news, because it matters for how they will vote. I expect their social interactions with the broader class of registered voters will bring some of them around to Biden, and to voting in the fall election.
You are a beacon of light…and hope, Simon!
Woohoo! Head to head data. Brilliant!
All good. Thank you Simon. Btw, I think I'm going to advocate a new campaign sticker: I'm a Democrat. I don't obey in advance.
Simon I recently watched a video that claimed that pollsters use the census to build their models of the electorate. The host then argued that COVID hit Republican voters disportionately, making the census data too skewed and resulting in polls that are too generous to GOP vote share.
I don't know enough about the polling industry to tell how accurate this is, but it sounds like a plausible explanation for what is happening right now with the consistent undercounting of Democratic support.
This advice is for Republicans who read Simon's posts (all seven of them): Mr. Trump says it's too easy to rig early and mail-in votes, so WAIT FOR ELECTION DAY TO VOTE! Tell your friends and family!
Can we get a vote on day one social media post going? That graphic today would be great! Oregon has just received ballots for the May 21 primary - let’s remind Oregonians to vote on day one!
This "Vote on Day 1" strategy is going to become a major part of what we do together this fall.
Cannot wait almost 0 problems in decades of mail in. Register in person or online mail vote or plentiful drop offs track your ballot online and know when it arrives and is counted. Why not everyone? Lifelong resident of Oregon. Not a perfect place but strong voting laws.
“Dobbs broke the GOP”
Truth.
And, more truth: Trump broke the GOP
...and making it go broke.
Lindsey “Lickspittle Toady” Graham said that if the GOP allowed Trump to become its face, the GOP would be destroyed, and deserve it. Of course, Grovelin’ Graham full-on embraced his evil overlord once said evil overlord was actually installed, but, nobody accused Graham of having a spine, either.
Graham may be a cowardly and not a courageous Cassandra, but I think he was right.
A few of those GOPers changed their tune. They knew Trump was toxic and dangerous. Then, they got seduced and danced with the devil.
Trump=Dobbs=tata for now to the GOP
For anyone who is a Vote Forward letter writer, I wanted to share an upcoming Zoom event on how to message reluctant voters in Swing states. Here is the blurb from Olivia B. who coordinates a virtual letter writing party for Do The Most Good that meets weekly:
"We are all hoping the letters will encourage infrequent voters in swing states to vote in the November election by writing something that resonates with them. Wouldn't it be good to know what really matters to voters in those states to help you craft your message? Or do you wonder how to talk with friends or relatives who aren't sure if they will vote in November? Well, DoTheMostGood has the event for you! Sign up for our "Messaging Reluctant Voters" virtual event on May 15th from 7 - 8:00 pm EDT. Paul Kendrick, Executive Director, Rust Belt Rising, will tell us about his research on the issues important for voters in swing states and how to address them in productive ways."
Here is a link to sign up on Mobilize: https://mobilize.us/s/lv29td
Friends, please consider sharing this post through your networks. It's important we get this data out there. Onward!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Done!
Done and done!
Simon , my 95-ish-year-old dad’s name is Simon, as well. Just gifted him Hopium and told him it’s from my 2nd favorite Simon. 😊
amazing story. Thank you. Not many Simons in the world!
Yes. He’s a Holocaust survivor from Antwerp, Belgium. So he’s taught us to speak out for human rights. Onward to the finish line!
I appreciate your positive messages immensely.
But I’m still so distressed
as to why there are soooo many people still supporting
Trump.
How to Prevent "GOP MASS PSYCHOSIS - How an Entire Population Becomes MENTALLY ILL"
❤️ Discredit totalitarian propaganda everywhere
🤣 Mock GOP worship of dictators
❤️ Promote moral organizations
❤️ Actions by everyone creates freedom
https://youtu.be/09maaUaRT4M