The War Has Started Doing Meaningful Damage To Trump's Standing, Gas Prices Hit $4 A Gallon, Let's Rock This Filing Deadline People!
3pm ET - Ohio Lt. Governor candidate David Pepper joins us for a live campaign update from the Buckeye State
Morning everyone. Today is the last day of filing period for candidates and party committees across the country. Let’s make this a good day for the intrepid warriors leading us into battle this fall!
This community rallied for our candidates and party committees yesterday, contributing over $100,000, Amazing work all! Can we match or exceed that today? My hope is that everyone reading this email will contribute $10, $25 or more to at least one of our courageous candidates and party committees (below). For this early money really matters all. It is used to hire staff, grow capacity, and help us get louder. The money raised today is put to work everyday from now until Election Day, and is very impact and high return on investment. Money today just matters more than money in October - so let’s reach deep today folks!
Expect a new interview with Shannon Taylor running to flip VA-01 this afternoon, and at 3pm ET today, Ohio Lt. Governor Candidate David Pepper joins us for a live update from the all the important Buckeye State. Head here a bit before 3pm to join us!
You can watch videos of our top candidates, learn more about them all, and donate below! Let’s close out this first quarter strong everyone!
As we look ahead towards November we should be optimistic about our chances. The failed, illegal, ridiculous war has started driving down Trump’s already terrible approval rating, and is now doing even further damage to Republican electoral prospects this year. Let’s survey some recent data……
Trump is now at -21 job approval in the FiftyPlusOne polling average It’s the lowest reading of his second term:
I charted the polls of Quantus Insights, a very pro-Trump, “red wave” pollster. This is the kind of data they are seeing inside the MAGA bubble. Ugly!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
The weekly Economist/YouGov track was just released, and it also shows Trump melting down this week, dropping 5 points in just the past 7 days, and at his lowest level of his second term:
We started seeing this kind of dramatic movement against Trump late last week in that Reuters/Ipsos poll we reviewed last Thursday:
Here’s more remarkable data from the new Economist/YouGov poll:
Support for Iran War 28%-59% (-31). 28% support for the Iran War! Republicans are 62%-24%. A quarter of Republicans are now against the war.
Trump approval for the War, 30% approve, 60% disapprove (-30). Republicans are 68%-22%.
Ground troops - 14% favor, 62% oppose (-48). Republicans are 30% favor, 37% oppose.
The country is turning hard against the war. These are stunning numbers.
Gas hit $4 a gallon in the US this morning:
In a new right-aligned poll in North Carolina Roy Cooper has opened up his biggest lead of the cycle, 49%-41%.
A new poll in Alaska has Mary Peltola winning in the first real test of their ranked choice voting system:
A new Emerson College poll in Maine has both Mills and Platner beating Collins:
If we win these three Senate races, and hold all the ones we currently have, we are at 50 seats. Talarico has been polling even in Texas. The last poll in Ohio had Sherrod Brown up two. Our performance this cycle and our polls in Iowa have been encouraging. We got a shot here peeps!
So, now, let’s get to work and close out this critical first quarter strong everyone!
We Can Do This People!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Hopium’s Winning The House Campaign (2026) - $445,300 raised, $500,000 goal (revised q1 stretch goal!!!!!) - Donate to all twelve of our endorsed House challengers with one click | Enjoy our new conversations with Jamie Ager (NC-11), Christina Bohannan (IA-01), Mayor Paige Cognetti (PA-08), Sean McCann (MI-04), Jo Mendoza (AZ-06), and Janelle Stelson (PA-10) | Learn about the eight candidates we just added to our campaign here.
Huge shout-out to the team at FridayAction. Our event last Wednesday with them has now raised $95,000 for our House candidates - amazing, amazing stuff!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
With FridayAction’s help we’ve hit our $400,000 goal for the quarter, and yesterday we hit our stretch goal of $450,000 - great work everyone!
We’ve set a new stretch goal of $500,000 - can you help us get there?
James Talarico For Texas - $42,100 raised, $100,000 - Donate | Volunteer and Learn More | Enjoy my inspiring interview with Rep. Talarico as he fights to turn Texas blue
Mary Peltola For Alaska Senate - $61,700 raised, $250,000 goal - Donate | Volunteer and Learn More | Enjoy my uplifting conversation with Mary Peltola as she fights to turn Alaska blue
Winning Ohio - $95,300 raised, $250,000 goal - Our new campaign splits contributions evenly among Sherrod Brown, the Acton/Pepper ticket, and the Ohio Democratic Party. Donate today and help us turn this critical 2026 battleground blue!
Roy Cooper for NC Senate (2026) - $92,500 raised, $250,000 goal - Donate | Learn More | Volunteer | Enjoy my conversation with Gov. Cooper as he fights to turn North Carolina blue
Jon Ossoff GA Senate (2026) - $153,900 raised, $250,000 goal - Donate | Learn More | Volunteer | Enjoy my inspiring conversation with Senator Ossoff
Hopium’s Audacious Expansion Fund - $436,900 raised, $500,000 goal (new stretch goal) - Join our campaign to expand our map by investing in the Democratic Parties of Alaska, Florida, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and catch interviews with 5 intrepid state party chairs leading us into battle this year.
Many thanks to two generous Hopium community members who have audaciously donated $10,000 to each of our five state parties.
Thank you everyone! Let’s keep working hard. We have a country to save and an election to win this November!!!!!!!!!!!!- Simon
Read in our paper, the Georgia Republicans are trying to remove party labels from State and local races, but only for 5 counties in the Atlanta area. Those five are: Dekalb, Fulton, Cobb, Gwinnett and Clayton. They know they can't win those races, so now they want to change the rules, but not for all the State.
Rachel Maddow’s report on No Kings last night highlighted something I’ve noticed—the spread into rural red America. I’m not sure the organizers were even trying for that but I’ve been struck by the protests in places like Branson or Jonesboro, AR. I’m not sure it affects the midterms directly but suggests his support is softening and eroding in places that should be strongholds for him.