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Gary Scharrer's avatar

The Texas potential voting pool has changed significantly since 2018 when Beto lost by 2 points to incumbent Sen Ted Cruz.

Since 2018, we have seen approximately 680,00 more “White” Texans die than Hispanic Texans.

On the front end, we see an estimated 180,000 to 250,000 Texas Hispanics turn 18 each year v. 90,000 to 110,000 “white” Texans turning 18 each year.

If we take the low end of that range, we can assume 720,000 more Texas Hispanics have turned 18 since 2018 than “white” Texans turning 18.

So, the potential voting pool since 2018 has 678,555 fewer “whites” on the back end (deaths) and at least 720,000 more Texan Hispanics who have turned 18 than Texas whites.

Assuming that whites lean Republican and Hispanics tilt Dem, the voting pool gives Dems about a 1.4 million potential advantage.

Beto needed 215,000 more votes from the 8.4 million ballots in 2018.

Patrick's avatar

Now he's blaming Hegseth for running out of ammunition and, I guess, not telling him.

Hegseth needs to explain it in a way he can understand: "Sir, it's like when you run out of blue chews."

We lost the Iran war in the first 4-6 weeks and the rest is pretending this didn't happen.

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