With Thursday's Debate, and Biden's Clear Gains in New Polling, The Election Is Entering A New Phase
Tuesday, 730pm ET - Our Monthly Hopium Gathering - Register Today!
Happy summer solstice all, and Friday too. This has been a travel day for me so a slightly shorter than usual post. Got some good stuff for your weekend reading, viewing and listening pleasure and a huge hearty thank you to the intrepid and successful Wisconsin Democrats I spent time with last night. More on that tomorrow. Let’s get to it!
In yesterday’s post I went over new polling showing Biden making meaningful gains including in new Fox News polling. In today’s 538 national poll average Biden has his first national lead this year; has gained 2.7 pts since early March; and in 538’s election forecast Biden is currently projected to win MI, PA, WI, NE-2 and win the election. The election is becoming bluer. It’s very encouraging stuff.
We are entering a new phase of the campaign as over the next 10 weeks we will have 2 debates, the Trump sentencing, the two Conventions and who knows what else. We are now officially deep into the General Election, and need to be upping our intensity level and work. Lots of voters are checking in now, and collectively, we have to be as loud as we can be as they do. That’s why we’ve been working so hard to make June count (see below). Please sign up for volunteer shifts, make a few more donations, work your networks with good news. It’s show time everyone, and we have a bit of momentum now.
A reminder that we’ve continued to have really good economic news in recent weeks. Inflation was ZERO in May. Prices did not rise and the price of many goods fell. The May jobs report was 50% higher than expected. The World Bank upped it global growth forecast because of the strength of the American economy. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker has q2 GDP coming in at a very robust 3% Wage growth remains very strong. The stock market broke more records. Joe Biden has a been a very good President, the country is clearly better off and we need to be loud and proud about his successes every day.
Three months before early voting begins I believe we are favored because we have a better candidate, better arguments and a far better campaign. Oh, and our guy ain’t a rapist, fraudster, traitor and a felon. Or a weird shade of burnt orange. Or buds with Putin. Or the guy who ended Roe. Or the ugliest political thing any of us has ever seen.
Try to find some time this weekend to watch my new With Democrats, Things Get Better presentation. It will leave you with a little more pep in your Democratic step, as it is a 30 minute reflection on the greatness and goodness of this remarkable party we are all part of. Think of With Dems like a Hopium orientation. If you are new here, and want to go deeper into the world view driving our community, you should watch With Dems. I also did a sit down this week with Rick Wilson, Stuart Stevens and Joe Trippi of Resolute Square, and spoke to Molly Jong-Fast for her pod, Fast Politics. Both were terrific discussions.
2 Events This Week
Tues, June 25, 730pm ET - The monthly Zoom gathering of the entire Hopium Chronicles community - Register here. Excited to see everyone. So much to talk about!
Sat, June 29 - I’ll be speaking in person at Network NOVA’s 8th Annual Women’s Summit in Tyson’s Corner, VA - More info, register. Hope to see DC area Hopium folks there! This is always a great event.
Let’s Make June Count Everyone!!!!! - The new polls suggest June is turning out as we hoped, and we need to keep making June count everyone!
Learn more about the “Check and Checkmate” strategy driving our June campaign and recommendations. Watch our new interviews with Nebraska Democratic Party Chair Jane Kleeb, Janelle Bynum (OR-5), George Whitesides (CA-27) and Kirsten Engel (AZ-06). Donate and volunteer below. Together, over the past month we’ve raised more than $525,000 for our candidates/state parties and have already blown past our original Winning The House goal of $300,000. Thank you all - it’s amazing stuff!!!!
Here’s where we are today, and here’s how you can help:
Biden-Harris - $377,000 today, $400,000 goal - Donate | Volunteer | Learn More
Watch my favorite Biden-Harris Ad “Flag”
Winning The House - $322,000 today, $400,000 goal - yes!!!!! - Donate | Volunteer | Learn More. We’ve blown past our $300,000 goal and are now shooting for $400,000 - great work everyone!
Arizona/Ruben Gallego - $201,000 today, $300,000 goal - Donate | Volunteer | Learn More - Watch my interview with Ruben Gallego
North Carolina - $250,000 today, $300,000 goal - Donate | Volunteer | Learn More - Watch my interview with NC Dem Chair Anderson Clayton
Nebraska/Blue Dot -$58,000 today, $100,000 goal- Donate | Volunteer | Learn More - Watch my interview with NE Dem Chair Jane Kleeb
Thank you all! Our community of proud patriots and information warriors just keeps bringing it day after day after day. So inspired by your passion, grit, determination and willingness to leave it all out there on the playing field for this great country. As we discuss in the new With Dems presentation, when democracy calls Democrats answer, and that is what all of you are doing now - answering democracy’s call, powerfully!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
10% Off Annual Hopium Membership in June - As a token of my gratitude for all that you are doing, I’m now offering a 10% discount on annual paid subscriptions for new subscribers through the end of the month. Click on this link to subscribe today. On that link you can also purchase gift or group subscriptions for others you’d like bring into the Hopium community. If you signed up as a paid subscriber in the first half of last year and want to make sure your paid subscription is current and up to date check be sure to visit here.
My stretch goal is to get to 10,000 paid subscribers by June 30th. We are within range of hitting that target as we are over 9,525 today. These funds will put Hopium in a financial place to close out this election strong. Thanks to all of you who have stepped up and become a paid subscriber in recent days - you are making June count!
Keep working hard all. Proud to be in this fight with all of you - Simon
I'm proud to be part of this community. Last night I stopped at one of my favorite watering holes, and inadvertently triggered a political discussion . I brought up the fact that one of my favorite actors - Donald Sutherland - had passed away yesterday. A fellow patron remarked " ...The WRONG Donald died...", which led to a conversation with two people - one of which was a 30s/40s fellow patron and the other was with the bartender - I'd guess in her mid 20s. Unfortunately, it became clear the bartender was cynical and said she didn't see a difference between Biden and Trump (she was convinced he was ineffective, inflation was a problem and that we were "screwed either way", and seemed to say this was a perfect third party year). In my tired, hungry and thirsty state, I stumbled to sell his accomplishments to her. I realize this was just one person, just one gen z-er whom happened to be despondent and cynical. However, the story doesn't end there ( I promise I - I'm not just dumping my anxiety here). I continued to converse with my fellow bar patron. She was unimpressed with either party, overwhelmed, and scared. Ultimately I convinced her the Democrats were far preferable, and that there is a huge difference between a Biden and Trump victory. We kept talking and by the end of our conversation, she had signed up to receive Hopium emails. Keep calm and campaign on people.
Trump brags about receiving $141 million in campaign donations in May, significantly outpacing Biden’s $85 million. The unwary might think the first figure reflects some sudden crowd approval… It does not!
Reality check: More than half of Trump’s haul was a single $75 million donation from bank heir Tim Mellon. Without Mellon, Trump took in a mere $66 million.
Worth noting: Mellon also donated $25 million to RFK Jr’s campaign, underscoring the fact that precisely the same deep-pocket billionaires are funding Trump and RFK Jr. Essentially, they’re two sides of the same coin – a strategy to put the Felon back into the White House.
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Meanwhile: The share value of Truth Social has dropped by 50% since the start of June.